Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	3.52	4.15	1.85	Watch
	3.02	3.69	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
28.2%

Draw
23.5%

Ryazan
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Rostov - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	98. Lubsky M. (G)
49. Balanov Y. (A)	51. Kramarenko Y.
6. Gapochkin R.	35. Alyaev A.
26. Urulin S. (A)	11. Rakhimullin D.
25. Sedantsov O.	25. Meshcheryakov M.
95. Korbit Y.	13. Korostelyov M.
Line 2
62. Dimitrov N.	88. Faizullin A.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	9. Sidnev K.
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	23. Alexeyev Y.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.	87. Mingaleyev D.
8. Sokolov D.	27. Kazakov M.
Line 3
94. Voronin N.	90. Salov Y.
37. Opotsky R.	34. Zotov F.
64. Sorokin S.	73. Leshchenko V.
17. Smolyov I.	38. Shipov I.
98. Levinsky A.	24. Akhunov T.
Line 4
44. Grishin P.	5. Dedov G.
15. Kuznetsov A.	47. Morozov Y.
23. Kamensky Y.	50. Yakovlev D.
88. Voloskov G.	43. Sapozhnikov V.
Substitutes
	30. Korzin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:47, 1 - 0, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A), Tsalpanov Y. (A2)
09:47, 2 - 0, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Tsalpanov Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:39, 3 - 0, Levinsky A. (G),
09:41, 3 - 1, Rakhimullin D. (G), Korostelyov M. (A),
12:39, 3 - 2, Kramarenko Y. (G), Meshcheryakov M. (A), Rakhimullin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:50, 3 - 3, Akhunov T. (G), Yakovlev D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:27, 3 - 4, Shipov I. (G), Leshchenko V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3.

Rostov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ryazan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Ryazan has had a series of home games.

Ryazan could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ryazan will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:39. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Rostov - Kristall Saratov	0:4 ✺
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Molot Perm - Rostov	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Ryazan
VHL
20.11.25	Tambov - Ryazan	2:5 ✺
15.11.25	Ryazan - Dynamo-Altay	3:2 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	Ryazan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:2 penalties ✺
09.11.25	Ryazan - Norilsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.25	Ryazan - Rostov	1:3
07.08.25	Ryazan - Rostov	4:5
VHL
04.03.25	Ryazan - Rostov	4:3
20.09.24	Rostov - Ryazan	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.24	Ryazan - Rostov	0:1
VHL
17.12.23	Rostov - Ryazan	1:2 OT
26.10.23	Ryazan - Rostov	3:1

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