Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.96	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.65	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.08)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
45.9%

Draw
24.1%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for Neftyanik Almetyevsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)
8. Naumov V. (A)	90. Sumin A. (A)
51. Mineyev M.	55. Semyonov G.
17. Sokolov D.	59. Terekhov S.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	50. Komkov D.
59. Perevalov A.	77. Marushev M.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	89. Onishko A.
77. Vinogradov A.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
88. Shalagin M.	98. Avramenko I.
89. Guslistov N. (A)	63. Platonov Y.
33. Shablovsky Z.	88. Bulatov A.
Line 3
47. Churkin V.	75. Ionov S.
53. Shemerov	8. Mulyukov I.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	32. Yakupov R.
24. Khrapov F.	70. Boychuk D.
10. Sheshin D.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
71. Grzheletsky M.	91. Nafigin I.
9. Belov D.	85. Kurbanov A.
86. Piskunov P.	87. Rakhimullin A.
50. Kurbatov V.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
18. Serdyuk Y.	99. Zhulin T.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:12, 1 - 0, Shalagin M. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Chibrikov I. (A2)
03:21, 1 - 1, Bulatov A. (G), Khamidullin D. (A), Yakupov R. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
05:30, 1 - 2, Bulatov A. (G), Avramenko I. (A), Platonov Y. (A2)
11:21, 2 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Perevalov A. (A2)
13:24, 3 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Khrapov F. (A2)
17:49, 4 - 2, Sokolov D. (G), Shchemerov A. (A), Serdyuk Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:46, 4 - 3, Komkov D. (G), Terekhov S. (A), Zhulin T. (A2)
04:20, 4 - 4, Terekhov S. (G), Sumin A. (A),
05:28, 4 - 5, Marushev M. (G), Rakhimullin A. (A),
13:20, 5 - 5, Sheshin D. (G), Khrapov F. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Zhulin T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Shakirov R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Avramenko I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ovchinnikov D. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.

Metallurg N could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
15.11.25	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
13.11.25	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
20.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:10 ✺
17.11.25	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1 ✺
09.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.12.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2
25.11.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:3
21.12.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:0
24.10.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:1
19.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:0
28.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:1
06.02.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 OT

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