Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk) 🌤️ ...


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.4	4.19
	1.68	4.33	4.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	4.37 ↑ (4.33)	4.18 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
56%

Draw
21.5%

Rubin Tyumen
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

21.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Neftyanik Almetyevsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	30. Lozebnikov D. (G)
38. Garaishin I.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	12. Lyutov D. (A)
88. Bulatov A.	27. Davydov D. (C)
63. Platonov Y.	10. Petrakov I.
9. Bykov M.	23. Lazarev M.
Line 2
90. Sumin A. (A)	7. Brinkmann A.
97. Myasishchev I.	11. Popov Y.
13. Zamaltdinov R.	9. Ivanov S.
70. Boychuk D.	86. Gorbunov D.
99. Zhulin T.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 3
8. Mulyukov I.	48. Isayev I. (A)
75. Ionov S.	63. Perelyavev S.
32. Yakupov R.	43. Voronkov P.
17. Kulikov P. (A)	57. Kanitsky Y.
71. Shakirov R.	82. Reshetko M.
Line 4
4. Chetverikov D.	53. Voevodin D.
87. Rakhimullin A.	76. Kartashov A.
19. Khlopotov V.	66. Piliya D.
77. Marushev M.	85. Styozhkin I.
	3. Ivanov Y. D.
Substitutes
37. Nosov G. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
17:09, 0 - 1, Styozhkin I. (G), Ivanov Y. D. (A),
17:58, 1 - 1, Zamaltdinov R. (G), Bulatov A. (A), Platonov Y. (A2)
19:26, 1 - 2, Gorbunov D. (G), Ivanov S. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:30, 2 - 2, Bykov M. (G), Khamidullin D. (A), Mulyukov I. (A2)
17:52, 3 - 2, Bykov M. (G), Platonov Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:57, 3 - 3, Ivanov S. (G), Koshurnikov K. (A), Brinkmann A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Davydov D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bulatov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Popov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kulikov P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lazarev M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shakirov R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Koshurnikov K. (Penalty Shot),
4, Khlopotov V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Gorbunov D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Platonov Y. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 4.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rubin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:52. (average 2.9:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 2.5:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26
17	Rubin Tyumen	16	3	5	2	6	37:40	18

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.05%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
05.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
03.03.26	Khimik - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
01.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:7 ✺
23.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
03.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
25.02.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:5 ✺
22.02.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 OT ✺
20.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3
19.02.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:3
01.10.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	5:3
14.04.24	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
12.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	0:1
10.04.24	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:7
07.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:0

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