Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Zvezda Moscow		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.98
	3.74	4.05	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.14)	3.98 ↓ (4.05)	1.89 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
26.4%

Draw
23.7%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

23.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

25.2%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)
80. Barabosha A.	38. Garaishin I.
48. Barantsev D. (A)	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
87. Yapparov Y.	88. Bulatov A.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	50. Komkov D.
77. Solovyov Y.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
76. Shuravin M.	90. Sumin A. (A)
6. Gordeyev M.	97. Myasishchev I.
62. Shalyshkin N.	59. Terekhov S.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	70. Boychuk D.
23. Khulapov D.	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
3. Sidorov M.	8. Mulyukov I.
8. Bobryashov N.	75. Ionov S.
56. Vlasenko D.	32. Yakupov R.
25. Lazutin D.	17. Kulikov P. (A)
42. Savvateyev V.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
44. Stanislavskiy D.	85. Kurbanov A.
95. Vasin M.	13. Zamaltdinov R.
75. Averochkin M.	19. Khlopotov V.
79. Dronyk V.	24. Faizullin D.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:49, 1 - 0, Dronyk V. (G), Averochkin M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:04, 1 - 1, Terekhov S. (G), Khamidullin D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
00:37, 1 - 2, Komkov D. (G), Mulyukov I. (A),
09:21, 2 - 2, Sidorov M. (G), Lazutin D. (A),
09:57, 3 - 2, Prokhorov A. (G), Lazutin D. (A), Vlasenko D. (A2)
13:49, 3 - 3, Komkov D. (G), Bulatov A. (A), Kurbanov A. (A2)
16:46, 3 - 4, Terekhov S. (G),

Preview

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:54. (average 2.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.6:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26
23	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
03.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
22.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
03.03.26	Khimik - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
01.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:7 ✺
23.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:1
07.03.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:4
13.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:1
10.01.24	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:0
16.10.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:1
11.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:1 OT
04.11.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 OT

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