Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk)


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.09	3.82
	1.86	4.13	3.43	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	3.7 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
51.3%

Draw
23.4%

Torpedo-Gorky
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

24.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Nosov G. (G)	1. Zinaddin L. (G)
89. Onishko A.	17. Alexandrov D.
4. Chetverikov D.	59. Nikitin Y.
98. Avramenko I.	75. Melnikov Y.
63. Platonov Y.	87. Opalev R. (A)
9. Bykov M.	51. Kosolapov A.
Line 2
38. Garaishin I.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	19. Anisimov A.
59. Terekhov S.	11. Omelyusik D.
19. Khlopotov V.	41. Fedorov V.
24. Faizullin D. (A)	97. Mayorov N.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	24. Pelevin A.
8. Mulyukov I.	25. Ipatov M.
32. Yakupov R.	10. Odinokov S.
50. Komkov D.	58. Ilyin D. (A)
71. Shakirov R.	7. Glazunov M.
Line 4
91. Nafigin I.	5. Zharkov I.
90. Sumin A. (A)	9. Krutov A.
13. Zamaltdinov R.	84. Utkin M.
77. Marushev M.	23. Chesnokov G.
87. Rakhimullin A.
Substitutes
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
	70. Gazizov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:29, 0 - 1, Utkin M. (G), Chesnokov G. (A), Krutov A. (A2)
13:29, 1 - 1, Yakupov R. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Komkov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:24, 2 - 1, Avramenko I. (G), Platonov Y. (A), Sumin A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:55, 2 - 2, Fedorov V. (G),
11', 2 - 3, Odinokov S. (G), Ilyin D. (A), Nikitin Y. (A2)
15:17, 3 - 3, Yakupov R. (G), Shakirov R. (A),
16:37, 3 - 4, Kosolapov A. (G), Pelevin A. (A), Zinaddin L. (A2)

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Torpedo-Gorky may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.2%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
21.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Khimik	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:1 ✺
14.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 penalties ✺
12.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3 ✺
10.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
21.09.25	Chelny - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Bars Kazan - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
17.09.25	CSK VVS Samara - Torpedo-Gorky	1:5 ✺
13.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Kristall Saratov	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.02.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:3
21.10.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Torpedo-Gorky	2:5
27.11.19	Torpedo-Gorky - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3

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