Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen)


	Rubin Tyumen		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.79	2.49
	2.48	3.9	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 (2.5)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
37.4%

Draw
24.3%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.5%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
22. Babenko Y.	98. Avramenko I.
7. Brinkmann A.	9. Bykov M.
8. Bryutov N.	4. Chetverikov D.
27. Davydov D.	24. Faizullin D. (A)
6. Gatiyatulin I.	38. Garaishin I.
9. Ivanov S.	75. Ionov S.
3. Ivanov Y. D.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
57. Kanitsky Y.	61. Khasanov I.
24. Kolganov I.	19. Khlopotov V.
80. Koshurnikov K.	50. Komkov D.
12. Lyutov D.	17. Kulikov P.
78. Meshkov P.	77. Marushev M.
10. Petrakov I.	91. Nafigin I.
66. Piliya D.	89. Onishko A.
11. Popov Y.	87. Rakhimullin A.
85. Styozhkin I.	71. Shakirov R.
28. Tsyganov D.	90. Sumin A. (A)
35. Vdovin Y.	28. Terekhov S.
43. Voronkov P.	59. Terekhov S.
	32. Yakupov R.
Substitutes
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:02, 0 - 1, Shakirov R. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:23, 1 - 1, Kanitsky Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:24, 1 - 2, Bykov M. (G), Garaishin I. (A), Avramenko I. (A2)
19:51, 1 - 3, Terekhov S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 1.

Rubin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 2.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 2.7:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.11%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.11%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
10.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - CSK VVS Samara	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	2:3 OT ✺
27.08.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
10.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
02.09.25	Chelny - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Bars Kazan - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:5 OT ✺
25.08.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.02.25	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:3
01.10.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	5:3
14.04.24	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3
12.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	0:1
10.04.24	Rubin Tyumen - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:7
07.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:0
06.04.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	0:3

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