Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.68	3.68
	1.62	3.55	3.55
	1.71	4.25	4.06	Watch
	1.65	4.00	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.87 ↓ (4.3)	3.81 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
53.6%

Draw
23%

Zvezda Moscow
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

21.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

22.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Neftyanik Almetyevsk aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3.

In recent outings, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zvezda Moscow is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Neftyanik Almetyevsk for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Neftyanik Almetyevsk in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:45 (averaging 2.8:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Neftyanik Almetyevsk against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 37:20 goals (averaging 3.4:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Almetyevsk	13	6	4	0	3	38:23	20
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 23.08%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
08.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Khimik	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
28.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
08.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Zvezda Moscow - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
22.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4
19.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	7:1
07.03.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:4
13.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:1
10.01.24	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:0
16.10.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:1
11.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:1 OT

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