The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Jersey Devils 35.7%
Draw 22.9%
Montreal Canadiens 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
22.6%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
24.4%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Jersey Devils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
New Jersey Devils - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. New Jersey will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Allen J. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
7. Hamilton D.
53. Dobson N.
71. Siegenthaler J.
8. Matheson M. (A)
91. Mercer D.
20. Slafkovsky J.
13. Hischier N. (C)
14. Suzuki N. (C)
28. Meier T.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
8. Kovacevic J.
48. Hutson L.
43. Hughes L.
47. Struble J.
16. Brown C.
93. Demidov I.
86. Hughes J. (A)
91. Kapanen O.
63. Bratt J.
15. Newhook A.
Line 3
17. Nemec S.
72. Xhekaj A.
5. Dillon B.
21. Guhle K.
72. Bjugstad N.
17. Anderson J.
12. Glass C.
71. Evans J.
29. Hameenaho L.
76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
48. Halonen B.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
47. Cotter P.
24. Danault P.
21. McLaughlin M.
90. Veleno J.
Substitutes
25. Markstrom J. (G)
35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Keefe S.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:03, Demidov I. (2 min),
15:58, 0 - 1, Struble J. (G), Caufield C. (A), Xhekaj A. (A2)
19:52, Bjugstad N. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:40, Siegenthaler J. (2 min),
08:12, 0 - 2, Demidov I. (G), Caufield C. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
09:28, 0 - 3, Hutson L. (G),
13:08, 1 - 3, Mercer D. (G), Meier T. (A), Hischier N. (A2)
15:38, Dillon B. (2 min),
17:40, 2 - 3, Hughes J. (G), Bratt J. (A), Siegenthaler J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:45, 3 - 3, Meier T. (G), Hughes J. (A), Hamilton D. (A2)
18:06, Hughes J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Cotter P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bratt J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Demidov I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hughes J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Suzuki N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Hameenaho L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Slafkovsky J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Glass C. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kapanen O. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 4.
New Jersey has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Montreal is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in New Jersey: Gritsyuk A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Knee Injury)
Noesen S.
(Knee Injury)
Pesce B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Carrier A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Dach K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Montreal: Texier A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Jersey won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 74:56. (average 3.7:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, New Jersey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 3.5:3.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% New Jersey Devils: 2.97%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.