Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, ITV 4, ITV X
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ABC app, ABC
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	New York Rangers		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2.25	Watch
	2.7	4.05	2.25
	2.73	4.16	2.28
	2.71	4.2	2.25	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.2
	2.77	4.21	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.63)	4.09 ↓ (4.16)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Rangers
34.9%

Draw
23.2%

Pittsburgh Penguins
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.4%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. NY Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pittsburgh Penguins will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Rangers (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pittsburgh (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Shesterkin I. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
23. Fox A. (A)	65. Karlsson E.
44. Gavrikov V.	28. Wotherspoon P.
94. Perreault G.	71. Malkin E. (A)
93. Zibanejad M. (A)	18. Novak T.
8. Miller J.T. (C)	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 2
17. Borgen W.	58. Letang K. (A)
4. Schneider B.	49. Girard S.
13. Lafreniere A.	17. Rust B. (A)
16. Trocheck V.	67. Rakell R.
50. Cuylle W.	85. Hayes A.
Line 3
60. Morrow S.	75. Clifton C.
29. Robertson M.	5. Shea R.
91. Brisson B.	16. Brazeau J.
42. Laba N.	81. Kindel B.
12. Kartye T.	39. Mantha A.
Line 4
14. Raddysh T.	55. Acciari N.
39. Carrick S.	46. Lizotte B.
43. Sheary C.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
32. Quick J. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Sullivan M.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:28, Schneider B. (2 min),
02:08, 0 - 1, Mantha A. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Rust B. (A2)
02:36, Trocheck V. (2 min),
15:59, Lizotte B. (2 min),
18:30, Gavrikov V. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:59, 0 - 2, Shea R. (G), Clifton C. (A), Lizotte B. (A2)
09:09, Rakell R. (2 min),
10:00, 1 - 2, Zibanejad M. (G), Trocheck V. (A), Miller J.T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:57, 2 - 2, Raddysh T. (G), Gavrikov V. (A), Brisson B. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Mantha A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Trocheck V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Chinakhov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Miller J.T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Novak T. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 2.

NY Rangers has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pittsburgh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in NY Rangers: Rempe M. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Crosby S. (Knee Injury) Jones C. (Doping) St.Ivany J. (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in NY Rangers: Edstrom A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Girard S. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 77:60. (average 3.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Rangers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 3.6:2.6).

Outrights of NHL for now

New York Rangers: 1.18% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Rangers
NHL
26.02.26	New York Rangers - Philadelphia Flyers	2:3 OT ✺
05.02.26	New York Rangers - Carolina Hurricanes	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	6:5 ✺
29.01.26	New York Rangers - New York Islanders	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	New York Islanders - New York Rangers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
26.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New Jersey Devils	4:1 ✺
05.02.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:5 ✺
03.02.26	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT ✺
02.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
31.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	6:5
11.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	1:6
07.10.25	New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins	0:3
23.02.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	3:5
07.02.25	New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:3
06.12.24	New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:2
09.10.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	0:6

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