Match Info

NHL

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: UBS Arena (Elmont, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	New York Islanders		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.1	2.8	Watch
	2.25	4.05	2.8
	2.2	4.17	2.81
	2.19	4.33	2.74	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.22	4.34	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	4.15 ↓ (4.39)	2.75 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Islanders
42.8%

Draw
22.8%

Pittsburgh Penguins
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

21.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Penguins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Sorokin I. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
6. Pulock R. (A)	65. Karlsson E.
48. Schaefer M.	28. Wotherspoon P.
51. Heineman E.	67. Rakell R.
14. Horvat B. (A)	87. Crosby S. (C)
27. Lee A. (C)	39. Mantha A.
Line 2
4. Soucy C.	58. Letang K. (A)
3. Pelech A.	49. Girard S.
13. Barzal M.	17. Rust B. (A)
10. Schenn B.	18. Novak T.
64. Ritchie C.	59. Chinakhov Y.
Line 3
34. Boqvist A.	75. Clifton C.
24. Mayfield S.	5. Shea R.
92. Holmstrom S.	16. Brazeau J.
44. Pageau J.	81. Kindel B.
81. Palat O.	2. McGroarty R.
Line 4
16. Gatcomb M.	41. Koivunen V.
53. Cizikas C.	19. Dewar C.
32. Maclean K.	25. Soderblom E.
Substitutes
33. Rittich D. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
16:45, Girard S. (2 min),
16:45, Barzal M. (2 min),
19:03, Pageau J. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 5)
00:45, Rakell R. (2 min),
01:27, 1 - 0, Lee A. (G), Boqvist A. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
02:56, 2 - 0, Barzal M. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Boqvist A. (A2)
06:41, 2 - 1, Soderblom E. (G), Dewar C. (A), Acciari N. (A2)
09:17, 3 - 1, Schenn B. (G), Barzal M. (A), Ritchie C. (A2)
09:41, Acciari N. (2 min),
11:01, 3 - 2, Rakell R. (G), Rust B. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
13:29, 3 - 3, Shea R. (G), Mantha A. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
14:35, 3 - 4, Mantha A. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
17:17, 3 - 5, Mantha A. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Letang K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
04:35, Mayfield S. (5 min),
04:35, Soderblom E. (5 min),
06:06, 3 - 6, Hayes A. (G), Kindel B. (A), Novak T. (A2)
07:54, 3 - 7, Rakell R. (G), Brazeau J. (A), Girard S. (A2)
07:54, Sorokin I. ↓, Rittich D. ↑,
16:16, 3 - 8, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Letang K. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in NY Islanders: DeAngelo A. (Lower-Body Injury) Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Jones C. (Doping) Lizotte B. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Crosby S. (Lower-Body Injury) Malkin E. (Upper-Body Injury)

We predict that NY Islanders will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 73:64. (average 3.7:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:35. (average 4:3.2).

Outrights of NHL for now

Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2% New York Islanders: 0.6%

Last Results with these Odds

New York Islanders - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Islanders
NHL
28.03.26	New York Islanders - Florida Panthers	5:2 ✺
26.03.26	New York Islanders - Dallas Stars	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	New York Islanders - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 ✺
22.03.26	New York Islanders - Columbus Blue Jackets	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Montreal Canadiens - New York Islanders	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
28.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars	3:6 ✺
26.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 penalties ✺
24.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Colorado Avalanche	2:6 ✺
22.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Carolina Hurricanes	1:5 ✺
21.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
03.02.26	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT
09.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders	4:3
18.03.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders	2:4
29.12.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders	3:2
28.12.24	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:3
05.11.24	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 penalties
17.04.24	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4

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