Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pittsburgh Penguins		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	2.2	Watch
	2.62	4.08	2.35
	2.7	4.23	2.25
	2.56	4.29	2.33	Watch
	2.63	4.33	2.25
	2.61	4.32	2.31
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.23)	4.21 ↑ (4.19)	2.29 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
36.1%

Draw
22.5%

Ottawa Senators
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

22.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Ottawa will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Ottawa (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
65. Karlsson E.	2. Zub A.
28. Wotherspoon P.	85. Sanderson J.
16. Brazeau J.	28. Giroux C. (A)
87. Crosby S. (C)	18. Stutzle T.
67. Rakell R.	19. Batherson D.
Line 2
5. Shea R.	3. Jensen N.
77. Kulak B.	72. Chabot T. (A)
71. Malkin E. (A)	71. Greig R.
18. Novak T.	24. Cozens D.
59. Chinakhov Y.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
75. Clifton C.	10. Spence J.
7. Solovyov I.	43. Kleven T.
39. Mantha A.	22. Amadio M.
81. Kindel B.	12. Pinto S.
2. McGroarty R.	21. Cousins N.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.	20. Zetterlund F.
46. Lizotte B.	89. Eller L.
19. Dewar C.	83. Halliday S.
Substitutes
74. Skinner S. (G)	47. Reimer J. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:57, 1 - 0, Chinakhov Y. (G), Malkin E. (A), Wotherspoon P. (A2)
10:47, Rakell R. (2 min),
15:44, Solovyov I. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:35, 1 - 1, Amadio M. (G), Kleven T. (A), Pinto S. (A2)
03:25, Wotherspoon P. (2 min),
19:31, Clifton C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:46, 1 - 2, Stutzle T. (G), Batherson D. (A), Spence J. (A2)
08:48, 2 - 2, Novak T. (G), Shea R. (A), Chinakhov Y. (A2)
10:01, Cousins N. (2 min),
14:52, 2 - 3, Giroux C. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
14:52, (2 min),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.

Pittsburgh has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ottawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Graves R. (Lower-Body Injury) Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Letang K. (Foot Injury) Rust B. (Suspended) St.Ivany J. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Perron D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:63. (average 2.9:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 34.17%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
31.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers	6:5 ✺
29.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Chicago Blackhawks	6:2 ✺
25.01.26	Vancouver Canucks - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:3 ✺
22.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:6 ✺
21.01.26	Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
31.01.26	Ottawa Senators - New Jersey Devils	4:1 ✺
28.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche	5:2 ✺
25.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	7:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Carolina Hurricanes	1:4 ✺
22.01.26	Nashville Predators - Ottawa Senators	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
18.12.25	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0
30.03.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	1:0 OT
11.01.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	0:5
14.12.24	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 OT
29.09.24	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:5
12.03.24	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1 OT
23.12.23	Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT

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