Match Info

SLOVAKIA: EXTRALIGA - ROUND 47

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Tipsport arena (Nitra)


	Nitra		HC 19 Humenné

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	5.75
	1.4	5.25	5.75
	1.33	5.65	6.75
	1.32	5.2	6.4
	1.34	5.93	7.15
	1.33	5.5	5.8
	1.36	5.65	6.17
	1.31	5.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	5.55 ↑ (5.1)	6.35 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nitra
68.8%

Draw
16.7%

HC 19 Humenné
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

17.1%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The chances for HC 19 Humenné have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC 19 Humenné than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Nitra - HC 19 Humenné Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga).

Recent matches Nitra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HC 19 Humenné has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nitra is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nitra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nitra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
23.02.24	Nitra - Spišská Nová Ves	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Zvolen - Nitra	4:3 penalties ✺
16.02.24	Nitra - Slovan Bratislava	7:1 ✺
14.02.24	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	4:2 ✺
04.02.24	Nitra - Liptovský Mikuláš	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- HC 19 Humenné
Slovak Extraliga
23.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Ice Tigers Nové Zámky	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Spišská Nová Ves - HC 19 Humenné	6:3 ✺
16.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Poprad	2:5 ✺
14.02.24	Zvolen - HC 19 Humenné	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Banská Bystrica	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
14.01.24	HC 19 Humenné - Nitra	4:1
19.11.23	Nitra - HC 19 Humenné	6:2
08.10.23	HC 19 Humenné - Nitra	2:4

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