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Current Win Probability
Nokian Pyry 25.1%
Draw 20.1%
Kiekko-Vantaa 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
20.7%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
22.3%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nokian Pyry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nokian Pyry's form might have worsened.
Kiekko-Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiekko-Vantaa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nokian Pyry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiekko-Vantaa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nokian Pyry - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Myllykangas A. (G)
23. Auvinen S. (G)
48. Haataja A.
41. Inhala J.
28. Bilgili S. (C)
18. Kettunen E.
92. Nyppeli J.
28. Lahnaviik R.
93. Jarvela J.
16. Henritius T. (A)
20. Virolainen J.
51. Lemberg L.
Line 2
32. Selin K.
73. Satosaari P.
26. Hietanen J.
38. Hellman V. (C)
34. Mantymaki T. (A)
91. Suni O.
11. Kaihua T.
81. Menna M. (A)
29. Hietamaki T.
11. Gustafsson R.
Line 3
9. Hietaniemi V.
12. Haakana S.
78. Haataja V.
4. Nyman N.
8. Saavola T.
13. Tenhovuori N.
12. Lehtosaari R.
2. Moilanen S.
17. Frantsila K.
72. Virtanen A.
Line 4
6. Karjalainen N.
20. Kytovaara E.
44. Laakso A.
22. Rasanen V.
Substitutes
25. Kaipinen N.
1. Losevs A. (G)
51. Seppala A. (G)
4. Ylitalo V. (A)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:15, 0 - 1, Moilanen S. (G), Tenhovuori N. (A), Nyman N. (A2)
12:46, 1 - 1, Jarvela J. (G), Bilgili S. (A), Virolainen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:12, 1 - 2, Tenhovuori N. (G), Nyman N. (A), Virtanen A. (A2)
07:35, 1 - 3, Gustafsson R. (G), Nyman N. (A), Suni O. (A2)
18:26, 1 - 4, Lahnaviik R. (G), Moilanen S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 3.
In recent outings, Pyry has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kiekko-Vantaa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Pyry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Pyry has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:32 (averaging 2.7:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pyry against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:19 goals (averaging 3:3.8 per game).