Match Info
MestisDate: 16 September 2026, WednesdayLocation: Kattokeskus Areena (Nokia)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Nokian Pyry |
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KeuPa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.91 |
4.20 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.10 |
4.25 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
1.93 |
4.09 |
2.91 |
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 |
1.91 |
4.52 |
3.07 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
4.00 |
2.85 |
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1.90 |
4.30 |
3.03 |
Watch |
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1.97 |
4.20 |
2.90 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.28) |
4.22 ↓
(4.27) |
2.89 ↑
(2.48) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nokian Pyry
46.9% | Draw
21.6% | KeuPa
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nokian Pyry's performance.KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KeuPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nokian Pyry that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KeuPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nokian Pyry - KeuPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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31.  Makela A. (G)
| 41. Pasanen J. (G)
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43. Karvonen J.
| 89. Laukkanen R.
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28. Bilgili S. (C)
| 7. Vaharautio K. (A)
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42. Mikkonen D.
| 8. Krook A.
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64. Rantanen J.
| 83. Ketonen N.
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20. Virolainen J.
| 74. Matikainen K. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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32. Selin K.
| 2. Kesajarvi A.
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26. Hietanen J.
| 42. Wolin A. (C)
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92. Nyppeli J.
| 56. Rantanen N.
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93. Jarvela J.
| 12. Huttu E.
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29. Hietamaki T.
| 18. Liljamo T.
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| Line 3 |
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9. Hietaniemi V.
| 3.  Kurbaka V.
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78. Haataja V.
| 45. Heikkila E.
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8. Saavola T.
| 16. Winqvist K.
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12. Lehtosaari R.
| 72. Mutka J.
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21. Karjalainen P.
| 9. Hokkanen R.
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| Line 4 |
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4. Ylitalo V. (A)
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34. Mantymaki T. (A)
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11. Kaihua T.
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25. Kaipinen N.
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| Substitutes |
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35. Myllykangas A. (G)
| 35. Riihimaki A. (G)
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| 10. Sundgren M.
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| 26. Vilander V.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (4 - 1)
- 06:26, 1 - 0, Hietamaki T. (G), Lehtosaari R. (A), Mantymaki T. (A2)
- 09:37, 2 - 0, Kaihua T. (G),
- 12:35, 3 - 0, Kaihua T. (G), Karvonen J. (A), Bilgili S. (A2)
- 14:48, 3 - 1, Ketonen N. (G), Matikainen K. (A),
- 15:36, 4 - 1, Karvonen J. (G), Mikkonen D. (A), Haataja V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 16:41, 5 - 1, Jarvela J. (G), Nyppeli J. (A), Hietamaki T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 09:03, 6 - 1, Saavola T. (G), Karjalainen P. (A), Haataja V. (A2)
- 18:33, 7 - 1, Hietamaki T. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 4.Pyry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).KeuPa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).KeuPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Pyry will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:47. (average 3.1:3.1).Including home matches between the teams, Pyry won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 3:2.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Pyry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26:31 | 10 |
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| 8 | KeuPa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22:37 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 03.09.26 | Nokian Pyry - KeuPa | 4:1 | | 01.09.26 | KeuPa - Nokian Pyry | 1:3 | | Finnish Mestis | | | 18.03.26 | KeuPa - Nokian Pyry | 2:3 | | 14.03.26 | Nokian Pyry - KeuPa | 6:5 OT | | 13.03.26 | KeuPa - Nokian Pyry | 2:1 OT | | 11.03.26 | Nokian Pyry - KeuPa | 2:1 | | 07.03.26 | KeuPa - Nokian Pyry | 2:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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