Match Info

Mestis

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Kankaan jäähalli (Iisalmi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	IPK		Nokian Pyry

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.6	3.85	Watch
	1.57	4.17	3.71
	1.62	4.63	4.22	Watch
	1.53	4.33	4.2
	1.57	4.6	4.26	Watch
	1.68	4.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	4.47 ↓ (4.5)	3.96 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
56.6%

Draw
20.4%

Nokian Pyry
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

20.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

25.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nokian Pyry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

IPK - Nokian Pyry Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Rovio T. (G)	35. Nauseda F. (G)
66. Valtola K.	43. Virtala J.
4. Koskela V.	28. Bilgili S. (A)
44. Karppinen A.	74. Kangasniemi E.
27. Lausniemi A.	27. Ahvenlampi M.
22. Koponen E.	8. Peltola S.
Line 2
49. Viirret V.	9. Hietaniemi V.
12. Mikkonen O. (C)	3. Mannikko T.
17. Vartiainen T.	18. Kalliosalo J.
20. Ring L.	38. Himmanen N.
7. Suhonen P.	92. Nyppeli J.
Line 3
55. Lahtinen O. (A)	4. Ylitalo V. (C)
2. Junkkari J.	26. Lehikoinen A. (A)
50. Oden M.	24. Jarventie E.
33. Koskela S.	25. Hakanen S.
67. Curri R.	34. Mantymaki T.
Line 4
65. Haakana S.	15. Hallfors K.
21. Suomalainen S. (A)	12. Valimaki V.
26. Hattunen M.	44. Salmi L.
9. Vesaaja J.	11. Kivimaki V.
Substitutes
1. Parviainen O. (G)	30. Tamminen K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:14, 0 - 1, Kangasniemi E. (G), Hakanen S. (A), Bilgili S. (A2)
09:47, 1 - 1, Karppinen A. (G), Viirret V. (A), Ring L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
06:36, 2 - 1, Karppinen A. (G), Lausniemi A. (A), Haakana S. (A2)
08:05, 2 - 2, Hakanen S. (G), Jarventie E. (A), Ylitalo V. (A2)
17:42, 3 - 2, Lausniemi A. (G), Valtola K. (A), Vartiainen T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:07, 4 - 2, Vartiainen T. (G), Ring L. (A), Suhonen P. (A2)
19:22, 5 - 2, Koponen E. (G), Suhonen P. (A), Lahtinen O. (A2)

Preview

IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4.

IPK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pyry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Pyry has had a series of home games.

In this match, IPK is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 4.3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 5:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	9	6	1	2	0	33:16	22
7	Pyry	10	3	0	1	6	26:33	10

Last Results with these Odds

IPK - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
10.02.26	IPK - KeuPa	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 OT ✺
06.02.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	5:6 ✺
03.02.26	RoKi - IPK	3:4 OT ✺
31.01.26	IPK - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWL
- Nokian Pyry
Finnish Mestis
10.02.26	Nokian Pyry - Imatran Ketterä	6:4 ✺
07.02.26	Nokian Pyry - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	5:2 ✺
06.02.26	Nokian Pyry - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Nokian Pyry - Hermes Kokkola	3:4 ✺
30.01.26	TuTo - Nokian Pyry	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
06.01.26	Nokian Pyry - IPK	5:4 OT
04.12.25	Nokian Pyry - IPK	1:3
04.10.25	IPK - Nokian Pyry	5:3
Finnish Suomi-sarja
06.03.16	IPK - Nokian Pyry	7:3
05.03.16	Nokian Pyry - IPK	2:4
31.01.16	Nokian Pyry - IPK	7:4
14.11.15	IPK - Nokian Pyry	3:5 OT

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