The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IPK 61.1%
Draw 19%
Nokian Pyry 19.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.1%
17.2%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
19.8%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nokian Pyry than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
IPK - Nokian Pyry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
31. Makela A. (G)
81. Paqvalin A.
33. Tiihonen L.
6. Leppanen T.
28. Bilgili S.
77. Virtanen J.
14. Tiihonen M.
27. Lausniemi A.
11. Kaihua T.
7. Suhonen P.
20. Virolainen J.
Line 2
96. Gronblom T.
26. Hietanen J.
2. Junkkari J.
62. Tuupanen T.
28. Tolppola V.
8. Saavola T.
21. Jaatinen O.
64. Rantanen J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
29. Hietamaki T.
Line 3
59. Kahkonen J.
32. Selin K.
4. Kotajarvi J.
78. Haataja V.
13. Halonen V.
92. Nyppeli J.
33. Koskela S.
12. Lehtosaari R.
23. Paqvalin J.
34. Mantymaki T.
Line 4
56. Nissinen T.
17. Frantsila K.
9. Mykra O.
21. Karjalainen P.
18. Tohila R.
48. Haataja A.
67. Curri R.
Substitutes
31. Kerkola P. (G)
35. Myllykangas A. (G)
44. Salmi L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
06:46, 1 - 0, Jaatinen O. (G), Tolppola V. (A),
10:01, 2 - 0, Tolppola V. (G), Ahvenlampi M. (A), Jaatinen O. (A2)
19:38, 2 - 1, Saavola T. (G), Hietanen J. (A), Mantymaki T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:51, 2 - 2, Nyppeli J. (G), Tiihonen L. (A), Mantymaki T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:41, 3 - 2, Tolppola V. (G),
12:58, 3 - 3, Virolainen J. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:15, 3 - 4, Virolainen J. (G), Tiihonen M. (A), Bilgili S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Pyry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, IPK has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Pyry has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to IPK for this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:33 (averaging 4.4:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:13 goals (averaging 5:3.3 per game).
Finland
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Sammalniemi J. (G) 
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