Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.97	4.1	3.15	Watch
	1.92	4.12	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.15)	4.11 ↑ (3.7)	3.16 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
47.9%

Draw
22.7%

Tambov
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.4%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Norilsk - Tambov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)
72. Korchemkin D.
21. Kolomiytsev I.
55. Alkhimov S.
58. Yadykin Y.
97. Leontyev A.
Line 2
18. Alexeyev D.
43. Ugolnikov A. (A)
26. Bain M.
13. Kaletnik V. (C)
63. Yemets I.
Line 3
64. Minayev Y.
98. Abdeyev I.
71. Golodnyuk S.
89. Gorbunov D.
93. Korenev I.
Line 4
28. Makeyev N.
56. Mokin N. (A)
74. Lapshin I.
91. Lazarev A.
Substitutes
88. Smirnov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:16, 1 - 0, Ugolnikov A. (G), Kaletnik V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:02, 1 - 1, Kopyltsov S. (G), Zhabreyev A. (A), Pyanov E. (A2)
11:35, 2 - 1, Korenev I. (G), Kaletnik V. (A), Ugolnikov A. (A2)
12:53, 2 - 2, Kopyltsov S. (G), Pyanov E. (A), Peshekhonov V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

Norilsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tambov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tambov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Norilsk has had a series of home games.

Norilsk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
14.09.25	Norilsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Norilsk - Buran Voronezh	3:4 ✺
06.09.25	Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
04.09.25	Norilsk - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- HC Tambov
VHL
11.09.25	Tambov - SKA-VMF	2:3 OT ✺
09.09.25	Tambov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4 ✺
03.09.25	Rostov - Tambov	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Dizel Penza - Tambov	3:2 OT ✺
20.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.02.25	Tambov - Norilsk	2:3
17.10.24	Norilsk - Tambov	4:3
26.11.23	Tambov - Norilsk	2:3
13.11.23	Norilsk - Tambov	1:4

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