The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norilsk 47.5%
Draw 24.2%
Zvezda Moscow 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
22.1%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
23.4%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norilsk's form might have worsened.
Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 0.
Norilsk is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Zvezda Moscow have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Zvezda Moscow could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Norilsk has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Norilsk is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:22 (averaging 2.3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 2.7:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
HC Norilsk
20
11
2
2
5
49:43
28
25
Zvezda Moscow
17
3
4
1
9
42:53
15
Last Results with these Odds
Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.