Match Info

HockeyEttan Norra

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	HockeyEttan TV


	Norrtälje		Kiruna IF

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.05	2.9
	1.86	3.97	2.87
	2.01	4.65	2.67	Watch
	1.85	4.2	2.88
	1.88	4.05	3.13
	2	4.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)	4.2 ↑ (4)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrtälje
46.9%

Draw
21.4%

Kiruna IF
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrtälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norrtälje's performance.

Kiruna IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiruna IF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrtälje than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norrtälje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna IF than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiruna IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Norrtälje - Kiruna IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:46, 1 - 0, Kull M. (G), Nystrom T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:08, 1 - 1, Maki J. (G), Hagstrom V. (A), Kauppila S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
01:56, 1 - 2, Koivuniemi S. (G), Maki J. (A), Kemi P. (A2)
04:55, 1 - 3, Halmkrona W. (G), Maki J. (A),
16:56, 1 - 4, Maki J. (G), Nilsson L. (A), Martti S. (A2)
19:45, 1 - 5, Mantynen T. (G), Naslund R. (A), Nilsson L. (A2)

Preview

Norrtälje is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kiruna IF's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norrtälje may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Norrtälje will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Norrtälje won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Kiruna IF	4	3	0	0	1	14:8	9
15	Norrtalje	4	1	0	1	2	9:16	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norrtälje IK
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
23.01.26	Norrtälje - Kalix	3:5 ✺
21.01.26	Surahammar - Norrtälje	4:7 ✺
15.01.26	Norrtälje - Boden	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	Norrtälje - Enköping	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Kiruna IF - Norrtälje	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWWW
- Kiruna IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
23.01.26	Strömsbro - Kiruna IF	2:3 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Kiruna IF - Lindlöven	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Clemensnäs - Kiruna IF	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Örnsköldsviks - Kiruna IF	6:2 ✺
04.01.26	Kiruna IF - Norrtälje	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
04.01.26	Kiruna IF - Norrtälje	3:4

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