The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 21.7%
Draw 18.8%
Windsor Spitfires 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
20.5%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
22.1%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Bay Battalion's form might have worsened.
Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Windsor Spitfires's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Bay Battalion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Windsor Spitfires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. LIsson J. (G)
30. Newlove M. (G)
29. Amidovski L. (A)
61. Belchetz E.
13. Barch H.
5. Brown J.
17. Cali R.
44. Cristoforo A. (A)
11. Carey R.
78. Davis C.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
7. Fibigr J.
26. Gervais S.
77. Garden E.
3. Kapageridis J.
19. Gaymes N.
8. Karmanov A.
66. Greentree L. (C)
15. Kunopaski C.
11. Harvey C.
19. Laird N. (A)
2. Kennedy W.
2. Manzo A.
80. Makysh B.
24. Moses S.
17. McLaughlin J.
12. Pitre K.
71. Nesbitt J. (A)
21. Procyszyn E. (C)
72. Pharand A.
25. Ride B. (A)
27. Robinson A.
16. Vaughan P.
8. Spellacy A. (A)
14. Warren C.
89. Villeneuve N.
28. Wellenreiter N.
28. Walton C.
24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
33. Costanzo J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
07:47, 0 - 1, Belchetz E. (G), Kennedy W. (A), Villeneuve N. (A2)
14:52, 0 - 2, Spellacy A. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
08:53, 1 - 2, Vaughan P. (G), Wellenreiter N. (A), Pitre K. (A2)
11:46, 2 - 2, Pitre K. (G),
13:19, 2 - 3, Davis C. (G), Kennedy W. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:51, 2 - 4, Nesbitt J. (G), Belchetz E. (A), Cristoforo A. (A2)
05:43, 3 - 4, Procyszyn E. (G), Kunopaski C. (A), Pitre K. (A2)
13:29, 4 - 4, Carey R. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Villeneuve N. (Penalty Shot),
1, Wellenreiter N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Belchetz E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Pitre K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Greentree L. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 2.
North Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Windsor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, North Bay has had a series of away games.
Windsor could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 64:80. (average 3.2:4).
Including home matches between the teams, North Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 2.9:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Windsor Spitfires - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.12%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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LIsson J. (G) 
Barch H. 
Dubrovtsev Y. 
Fibigr J. 
Gervais S. 
Karmanov A. 
Makysh B. 
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