The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Niagara IceDogs 39.3%
Draw 21.4%
North Bay Battalion 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
21.2%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
22.1%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
North Bay Battalion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Niagara IceDogs - North Bay Battalion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
32. Vreugdenhil C. (G)
34. Banas J.
13. Barch H.
72. Barnes B. (A)
11. Carey R.
7. Cheynowski C.
3. Daigneault J.
25. Dell'Elce S.
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
17. Edgar R. (A)
27. Edwards L.
92. Galiyanov I.
21. Hodgson K.
73. Gallacher L.
8. Karmanov A.
9. Hage A.
6. Konobelj O.
64. Hull C.
15. Kunopaski C.
61. Langdon J.
19. Laird N. (C)
22. Lappan M.
9. Lovell G.
11. Lewandowski C.
24. Moses S.
12. McFadden W.
22. Pereira J.
16. Merrill F.
26. Poe E.
5. Munnings B.
20. Pronin A.
26. Naish Z.
17. van Bommel R. (A)
93. Read N.
16. Vaughan P. (A)
43. Smith R. (A)
14. Warren C.
Substitutes
35. Haffner C. (G)
34. McIvor M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:32, 1 - 0, Smith R. (G), Edgar R. (A), McFadden W. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
07:59, 1 - 1, Pronin A. (G),
12:14, 2 - 1, Gallacher L. (G), Banas J. (A), Lappan M. (A2)
17:00, 2 - 2, Carey R. (G), Pereira J. (A), Warren C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 5)
05:04, 2 - 3, Dubrovtsev Y. (G), Moses S. (A), Vaughan P. (A2)
08:09, 2 - 4, Laird N. (G),
17:25, 2 - 5, Kunopaski C. (G),
18:13, 3 - 5, Galiyanov I. (G), Read N. (A),
18:55, 3 - 6, Dubrovtsev Y. (G), Vaughan P. (A), Kunopaski C. (A2)
19:03, 3 - 7, Carey R. (G), Lovell G. (A), Poe E. (A2)
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Niagara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Niagara has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:94 (averaging 3.1:4.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Niagara against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:36 goals (averaging 3.4:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.02%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.