Match Info

OHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Dort Financial Center (Flint, MI)


	Flint Firebirds		Windsor Spitfires

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.78	2.44
	2.26	4.03	2.52	Watch
	2.38	3.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	3.9 ↓ (4.34)	2.45 ↓ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Firebirds
38.7%

Draw
23.6%

Windsor Spitfires
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

21.2%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

22.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Windsor will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Windsor (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaccari M. (G)	33. Costanzo J. (G)
19. Allen D.	42. Brocklehurst M.
22. Anderson D.	5. Brown J.
76. Aspinall N. (C)	10. Costello S.
86. Battaglia J.	44. Cristoforo A. (A)
27. Bonnyman J.	78. Davis C.
13. Colosimo J.	7. Fibigr J.
88. Cunningham R.	77. Garden E.
65. Fellinger R.	19. Gaymes N.
14. Graziano L.	66. Greentree L. (C)
47. Kostov A. (A)	11. Harvey C.
10. Lombardi J. (A)	2. Kennedy W.
7. Paul J.	17. McLaughlin J.
95. Pazii I.	71. Nesbitt J. (A)
98. Podrekar U. (A)	72. Pharand A.
77. Smith B.	27. Robinson A.
81. Tessier X.	8. Spellacy A. (A)
9. Thibodeau C.	89. Villeneuve N.
8. Uljanskis D.	28. Walton C.
	24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
55. Courville M. (G)	30. Newlove M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:22, 1 - 0, Paul J. (G), Battaglia J. (A), Anderson D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:03, 1 - 1, Cristoforo A. (G), Woodall C. (A),
17:28, 1 - 2, Davis C. (G), McLaughlin J. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
03:59, 1 - 3, Woodall C. (G), Davis C. (A),
10:06, 2 - 3, Aspinall N. (G), Anderson D. (A),
12:25, 2 - 4, Fibigr J. (G), McLaughlin J. (A), Harvey C. (A2)
14:38, 3 - 4, Aspinall N. (G), Anderson D. (A), Battaglia J. (A2)
19:27, 3 - 5, Nesbitt J. (G), Greentree L. (A), Kennedy W. (A2)

Preview

Windsor Spitfires leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 2.

Recent performances by Flint have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Windsor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Flint may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flint has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flint won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 72:79. (average 3.6:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:42. (average 3.8:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Windsor Spitfires - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Firebirds
OHL
14.04.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	6:5 ✺
10.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	4:2 ✺
01.04.26	Owen Sound Attack - Flint Firebirds	1:6 ✺
30.03.26	Owen Sound Attack - Flint Firebirds	0:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
14.04.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	6:5 ✺
10.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	4:2 ✺
02.04.26	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	3:11 ✺
31.03.26	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
14.04.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	1:2
12.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	6:5
10.04.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	4:2
07.03.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	4:2
22.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	1:2
24.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	1:4
23.01.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	2:4

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