Match Info

Extraliga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: WERK Arena (Trinec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Oceláři Třinec		Olomouc

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.5
	1.48	4.97	5.4
	2.39	3.57	2.74	Watch
	1.4	4.75	5.5
	1.47	4.9	5.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	4.59 ↑ (4.55)	5 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec
59.6%

Draw
21.1%

Olomouc
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

20.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

21.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Oceláři Třinec will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
2. Mazanec M. (G)	1. Machovsky M. (G)
55. Adamek M.	4. Rutar A.
52. Marincin M. (A)	23. Ondrusek J. (C)
94. Nestrasil A. (A)	32. Orsava J. (A)
87. Kovarcik M.	41. Vitouch D.
34. Kovarcik O.	11. Fridrich P.
Line 2
76. Galvas J.	37. Stella E.
64. Koch P.	61. Cosgrove T.
56. Dano M.	88. Navratil J.
79. Hudacek L.	19. Nahodil L. (A)
43. Kurovsky D.	62. Plasek K. Jr.
Line 3
84. Kundratek T.	14. Reznicek D.
6. Musil D.	39. Petrovicky R.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)	9. Krastenbergs R.
3. Sikora P.	91. Kusko S.
9. Kubiesa M.	81. Matys O.
Line 4
75. Nedomlel R.	3. Skurek D.
18. Flynn O.	27. Rasner A.
40. Roman M.	89. Doktor J.
19. Hrehorcak P.	24. Andel L.
	7. Ministr D.
Substitutes
81. Cienciala D.	29. Cichon O. (G)
90. Kacetl O. (G)
Coaches
. Zabka B.	. Petrovicky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:53, 0 - 1, Navratil J. (G), Petrovicky R. (A), Nahodil L. (A2)
11:48, Matys O. (2 min),
19:42, Nahodil L. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:29, 1 - 1, Hudacek L. (G), Adamek M. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
04:55, Nahodil L. (2 min),
13:44, 2 - 1, Hudacek L. (G), Flynn O. (A), Adamek M. (A2)
15:40, 2 - 2, Krastenbergs R. (G), Rasner A. (A), Skurek D. (A2)
18:46, Marincin M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
11:26, Adamek M. (2 min),
18:46, Rutar A. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:44, Cosgrove T. (2 min),
06:22, 3 - 2, Kovarcik O. (G),

Preview

Trinec leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 4.

In recent matches, Třinec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olomouc is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Třinec is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Třinec: Dravecky V. (Health problems)

There will not play in Olomouc: Cacho V. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Třinec will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:45. (average 3.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:22. (average 3.9:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Trinec	9	9	0	0	0	45:18	27
14	Olomouc	9	1	1	0	7	17:33	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
09.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary	1:2 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Vítkovice Steel	3:2 OT ✺
27.02.26	Kometa Brno - Oceláři Třinec	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- HC Olomouc
Czech Extraliga
09.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Kometa Brno - Olomouc	5:4 ✺
04.03.26	Olomouc - Motor České Budějovice	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Olomouc	6:3 ✺
27.02.26	Olomouc - Mountfield Hradec Králové	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
09.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	1:0
09.01.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	4:1
28.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	5:2
12.10.25	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	3:5
10.09.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	8:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	3:2
Czech Extraliga
25.02.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	6:3

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