Match Info

Date: 11 April 2022, Monday


	Olimp Riga		Zemgale LLU

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.35	2.05
	2.8	4	2.1
	2.75	3.95	2.08
	2.75	3.9	2.09
	2.72	4.03	2.18
	2.8	3.9	2.05
	2.88	3.9	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)	4 ↑ (3.9)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimp Riga
33.2%

Draw
22.9%

Zemgale LLU
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

23.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimp Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimp Riga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

4th leg. Zemgale leads series 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimp won 0.

Recent matches Olimp is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zemgale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Olimp won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 48-71.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimp won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimp Riga
Latvian Hokeja Liga
08.04.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:3 ✺
06.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	3:2 OT ✺
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0 ✺
28.03.22	Olimp Riga - Mogo	4:3 OT ✺
26.03.22	Mogo - Olimp Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLLWW
- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
08.04.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:3 ✺
06.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	3:2 OT ✺
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0 ✺
29.03.22	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	3:4 OT ✺
27.03.22	Zemgale LLU - Liepāja	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
08.04.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:3
06.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	3:2 OT
04.04.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	5:0
15.03.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	1:4
09.03.22	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	7:1
26.02.22	Olimp Riga - Zemgale LLU	2:3 penalties
27.11.21	Zemgale LLU - Olimp Riga	3:4 penalties

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