Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 45

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.18	4.2	2.55
	2.17	4.1	2.65
	2.13	3.87	2.79
	2.14	4.14	2.77
	2.11	3.98	2.75
	2	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)	4.05 ↓ (4.19)	2.7 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
43.3%

Draw
22.7%

Red Bull Salzburg
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

21.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

23.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpija (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
61. Horak L. (G)	35. Tolvanen A. (G)
15. Gregorc B.	8. Corcoran C.
72. Masic B.	67. Wimmer P. P.
94. Drozg J.	3. Schneider P.
89. Boychuk Z.	70. Nissner B.
93. Meyer N.	5. Raffl T.
Line 2
60. Kirichenko C.	57. Baumann F.
74. Halbert N.	4. Nienhuis N.
8. Mahkovec M.	44. Coe B.
19. Petan A.	74. St. Denis T.
55. Sabolic R.	12. Raffl M.
Line 3
44. Crnovic A.	95. Horl L.
2. MacWilliam A.	23. Stephens D.
12. Simsic N.	21. Bourke T.
11. Quince M.	48. Thaler L.
9. Polei E.	96. Huber M.
Line 4
21. Bukovec M.	55. Schreier L.
14. Cosic J.	9. Wukovits A.
70. Kapel R.	16. Auer L. C.
23. Sodja J.
13. Pance Z.
Substitutes
30. Kolin L. (G)	30. Kickert D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:45, 1 - 0, Drozg J. (G), Meyer N. (A), Boychuk Z. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
09:22, 1 - 1, Stephens D. (G), Schreier L. (A),
13:54, 2 - 1, Meyer N. (G), Drozg J. (A), Halbert N. (A2)
17:10, 3 - 1, Drozg J. (G), Boychuk Z. (A), Meyer N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:21, 4 - 1, Drozg J. (G), Gregorc B. (A),
12:57, 5 - 1, Simsic N. (G), Polei E. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Red Bull Salzburg is Qualified for ICE Hockey League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Olimpija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Olimpija will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 40:71. (average 2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpija won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 2.1:3.4).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Salzburg: 18.12% HK Olimpija: 4.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	HK Olimpija	8	4	1	0	3	37:25	14
7	Salzburg	9	4	0	1	4	30:31	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
27.01.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:2 ✺
24.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 ✺
23.01.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 ✺
11.01.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Black Wings Linz	4:1 ✺
09.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Olimpija Ljubljana	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
28.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Fehérvár AV 19	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4 ✺
23.01.26	Graz 99ers - Red Bull Salzburg	2:4 ✺
21.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Red Bull Salzburg	4:2 ✺
18.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Olimpija Ljubljana	5:1
31.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2
17.10.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg	4:3 OT
19.02.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 OT
10.01.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2
20.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:2
29.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1 penalties

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