The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 17.5%
Draw 18.4%
Neftyanik Almetyevsk 64.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.1%
21.7%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
23%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk's form might have worsened.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)
37. Nosov G. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.
4. Chetverikov D.
79. Gusev M. M.
55. Semyonov G.
59. Sorokin D.
13. Zamaltdinov R.
26. Fischenko I. (A)
63. Platonov Y.
86. Korobintsev V.
88. Bulatov A.
Line 2
28. Zaitsev D.
85. Kurbanov A.
74. Antipin V.
97. Myasishchev I.
93. Korenev I.
59. Terekhov S. (A)
25. Pikov M. (A)
18. Korotkov B.
34. Ponomaryov T.
99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
7. Myslyayev S.
75. Ionov S.
18. Tolpegin D.
8. Mulyukov I.
95. Manin Y.
32. Yakupov R.
31. Shiafotdinov K. (C)
17. Kulikov P. (C)
24. Pishchalnikov P.
71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
36. Aksyonov A.
87. Rakhimullin A.
16. Pasmanik L.
19. Khlopotov V. (A)
14. Drobin A.
77. Marushev M.
15. Novokshenov I.
Substitutes
17. Almazov N.
9. Bykov M.
1. Chechelev D. (G)
73. Nazarov Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:44, 0 - 1, Terekhov S. (G), Zhulin T. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:29, 1 - 1, Pishchalnikov P. (G), Korobintsev V. (A), Lyakhov A. (A2)
02:32, 1 - 2, Terekhov S. (G),
09:24, 2 - 2, Pikov M. (G), Zaitsev D. (A), Shiafotdinov K. (A2)
12:55, 2 - 3, Yakupov R. (G), Khlopotov V. (A), Nosov G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:15, 2 - 4, Bulatov A. (G), Mulyukov I. (A), Zhulin T. (A2)
16:15, 3 - 4, Shiafotdinov K. (G), Pikov M. (A), Zaitsev D. (A2)
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Kirovo-Chepetsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).
Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Almetyevsk
17
7
6
0
4
49:33
26
22
Olympia
18
5
2
1
10
43:50
15
Last Results with these Odds
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.08%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.