Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm) 🌤️ ...


	Molot Perm		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	3.23	3.76	1.94
	3.23	4.05	1.96	Watch
	3.15	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.67)	3.85 ↓ (3.89)	1.93 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
28.7%

Draw
23.8%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

23.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

24.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Molot Perm's form might have worsened.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)	4. Chetverikov D.
55. Kozhevnikov A.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
15. Zenchikov I.	88. Bulatov A.
10. Plastinin V. (A)	63. Platonov Y.
81. Galimzyanov R.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
89. Malyavin A.	38. Garaishin I.
42. Labutkin Y.	97. Myasishchev I.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	59. Terekhov S.
61. Polyakov V.	18. Korotkov B.
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	99. Zhulin T.
Line 3
9. Pirogov I.	75. Ionov S.
39. Zimin N.	8. Mulyukov I.
88. Tesanov D.	32. Yakupov R.
97. Krikunenko R.	17. Kulikov P. (A)
22. Sinyavsky P.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
59. Sokolov N. A.	55. Semyonov G.
95. Shlykov V.	87. Rakhimullin A.
13. Yabelov D.	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
92. Kazakov M.	77. Marushev M.
Substitutes
90. Guskov Y. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 4)
01:02, 0 - 1, Terekhov S. (G), Korotkov B. (A),
02:12, 0 - 2, Rakhimullin A. (G), Marushev M. (A), Khlopotov V. (A2)
05:45, 0 - 3, Platonov Y. (G), Bulatov A. (A), Bykov M. (A2)
19:39, 0 - 4, Bykov M. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 4)
02:51, 0 - 5, Yakupov R. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Bykov M. (A2)
05:01, 0 - 6, Zhulin T. (G), Korotkov B. (A),
07:09, 0 - 7, Terekhov S. (G),
09:40, 1 - 7, Zenchikov I. (G), Glukhov N. (A), Plastinin V. (A2)
18:10, 1 - 8, Khlopotov V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.

Molot has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Molot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molot won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 37:55. (average 1.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26
8	Perm	16	9	2	0	5	45:27	22

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Molot Perm - Bars Kazan	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Molot Perm	2:3 OT ✺
30.01.26	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
26.01.26	Molot Perm - Norilsk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
03.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Kristall Saratov	4:5 OT ✺
01.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	3:0
30.10.24	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 OT
02.09.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties
19.01.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	3:4 OT
30.09.23	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:4
24.01.23	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:4
30.09.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	6:3

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