Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Polyot Rybinsk

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.05	2.15	Watch
	2.3	4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.3)	4.03 ↑ (4)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
37.3%

Draw
22.3%

Polyot Rybinsk
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

22.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

19.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Polyot Rybinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polyot Rybinsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

2nd leg. Olympia (MHL) leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
RHL
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4 ✺
29.03.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bobrov	2:1 OT ✺
28.03.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Bobrov	2:1 OT ✺
25.03.23	Bobrov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Bobrov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL
- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4 ✺
28.03.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Dinamo-Junior	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Dinamo-Junior - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3 ✺
24.03.23	Dinamo-Junior - Polyot Rybinsk	1:2 penalties ✺
16.03.23	Polyot Rybinsk - Dinamo-576	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
06.04.23	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	6:4
16.02.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	2:8
15.02.22	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Polyot Rybinsk	5:6 penalties
06.10.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3
05.10.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1
27.02.20	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	6:4
26.02.20	Polyot Rybinsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2

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