Match Info

AHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Ontario Reign		Coachella Valley Firebirds

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.3	2.75	Watch
	2.25	4.00	2.60
	2.14	4.02	2.79
	2.08	4.29	2.8
	2.08	4.4	2.81	Watch
	2.05	4.2	2.75
	2.08	4.36	2.79	Watch
	2.13	4.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	4.22 ↓ (4.25)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontario Reign
44.1%

Draw
22%

Coachella Valley Firebirds
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

22%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ontario Reign's performance.

Coachella Valley Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coachella Valley Firebirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Slukynsky H. (G)	40. Ostman V. (G)
24. Booth A.	10. Avon J.
8. Chromiak M.	2. Dragicevic L.
87. Cihar V.	27. Evers R.
17. Connors K.	57. Firkus J.
37. Doty J.	78. Fisker Molgaard O.
81. Guttman C. (A)	47. Hammell K.
27. Hicketts J. (C)	15. Hayden J. (C)
47. Hughes J.	43. Jugnauth T.
86. Jamsen A.	49. Miettinen J.
19. Kirsanov K.	24. Nelson T.
45. Millar J.	33. Nyman J.
29. Pederson L. (A)	23. Olofsson G. (A)
7. Perunovich S.	4. Price C.
71. Pinelli F.	16. Rehkopf C.
34. Ward T.	29. Roed L.
80. Woolley J.	12. Sale E.
78. Wright J.	67. Stephens M. (A)
13. Ziemmer K.	90. Villeneuve N.
Substitutes
70. George C. (G)	35. Kokko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:24, 0 - 1, Nyman J. (G), Firkus J. (A), Jugnauth T. (A2)
07:01, 1 - 1, Ziemmer K. (G), Kirsanov K. (A),
11:17, 1 - 2, Nyman J. (G), Hayden J. (A), Jugnauth T. (A2)
13', 2 - 2, Wright J. (G), Cihar V. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:19, 2 - 3, Firkus J. (G), Jugnauth T. (A), Avon J. (A2)
19:24, 2 - 4, Firkus J. (G), Jugnauth T. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:55, 2 - 5, Fisker Molgaard O. (G), Firkus J. (A),
16:56, 2 - 6, Nyman J. (G), Nelson T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ontario has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:52 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ontario against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 2.8:2.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Coachella Valley Firebirds - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.24%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontario Reign
AHL
02.10.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	5:6 AET ✺
09.05.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:3 OT ✺
07.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	6:2 ✺
05.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW
- Coachella Valley Firebirds
AHL
02.10.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	5:6 AET ✺
20.05.26	Colorado Eagles - Coachella Valley Firebirds	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Colorado Eagles - Coachella Valley Firebirds	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Colorado Eagles	4:0 ✺
13.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Colorado Eagles	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
02.10.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	5:6 AET
09.05.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:3 OT
07.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	6:2
05.05.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	1:2
01.05.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	5:1
29.04.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	0:3
11.04.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT

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