The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ontario Reign 43.7%
Draw 22.3%
Tucson Roadrunners 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44%
21.9%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
22.8%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - AHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - AHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Tucson has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ontario has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:48 (averaging 3.7:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ontario against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 34:24 goals (averaging 3.4:2.4 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Ontario Reign: 3.1% Tucson Roadrunners: 3.1%
Last Results with these Odds
Ontario Reign - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.05%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.
Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.08%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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