Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Orli Znojmo		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.35	2
	3	4.4	1.95	Watch
	3.2	4.1	1.85
	3.2	4.4	1.89
	3.17	4.48	1.91
	2.9	4.5	2
	3.3	4.45	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.8)	4.38 ↓ (4.75)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orli Znojmo
30.3%

Draw
21.3%

Red Bull Salzburg
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

19.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

19.5%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orli Znojmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orli Znojmo's performance.

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Salzburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orli Znojmo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orli Znojmo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

4th leg. Salzburg leads series 3-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orli Znojmo won 0.

Recent matches Orli Znojmo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Red Bull Salzburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Red Bull Salzburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Red Bull Salzburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 53 head-to-head matches Orli Znojmo won 22 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 31 matches and goals 162-177.

Including matches at home between the teams Orli Znojmo won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 84-81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orli Znojmo
Austrian Ice Hockey League
13.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	5:3 ✺
11.03.22	Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
09.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	3:1 ✺
04.03.22	Graz 99ers - Orli Znojmo	4:5 OT ✺
02.03.22	Orli Znojmo - Graz 99ers	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
13.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	5:3 ✺
11.03.22	Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
09.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Villacher - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
25.02.22	Red Bull Salzburg - TWK Innsbruck	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
13.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	5:3
11.03.22	Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3
09.03.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	3:1
01.02.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	3:1
10.12.21	Red Bull Salzburg - Orli Znojmo	5:3
05.11.21	Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg	2:5
26.10.21	Orli Znojmo - Red Bull Salzburg	3:1

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