The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oshawa Generals 34%
Draw 22.7%
Niagara IceDogs 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
23.3%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
25.5%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oshawa Generals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oshawa Generals than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oshawa Generals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niagara IceDogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Humphries M. (G)
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
16. Blaseg B.
72. Barnes B.
13. Byrd-Leitner P.
33. Chromiak J. (A)
26. Feeley C.
12. Czata E. (C)
8. Figliomeni A.
27. Dell'Elce S.
12. Franssen H. (A)
44. Doherty S.
98. Frolov A.
17. Edgar R.
96. Griffin O. (A)
92. Galiyanov I.
20. Hilton C.
9. Hage A.
78. Kalto O.
64. Hull C.
86. Laschon L.
19. Monks J.
4. Moore L.
21. Patterson R. (A)
79. O'Donnell A.
93. Read N.
24. Posthumus L.
16. Reid H.
71. Roberts S.
3. Reisnecker B.
10. Rogowski B.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)
42. Sang R.
61. Simon Wang
29. Smirnov V.
43. Smith R.
11. Timmerman A.
49. Spencer L.
8. Tiller G.
Substitutes
30. Cholette J. (G)
77. Robertson C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:44, 1 - 0, Moore L. (G), Franssen H. (A), Posthumus L. (A2)
08:00, 2 - 0, Kalto O. (G), Franssen H. (A), Posthumus L. (A2)
14:25, 2 - 1, Chromiak J. (G), Roobroeck R. (A), Czata E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
09:59, 2 - 2, Patterson R. (G), Reid H. (A), Czata E. (A2)
10:13, 2 - 3, Read N. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Spencer L. (A2)
13:31, 2 - 4, Patterson R. (G), Roobroeck R. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 0)
06:21, 3 - 4, Griffin O. (G), O'Donnell A. (A), Rogowski B. (A2)
06:47, 4 - 4, Hilton C. (G), Moore L. (A), Laschon L. (A2)
07:18, 5 - 4, Posthumus L. (G), Franssen H. (A),
19:54, 6 - 4, Rogowski B. (G), Griffin O. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 1.
Oshawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Niagara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Niagara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Niagara has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Niagara will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oshawa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 81:64. (average 4.1:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oshawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:34. (average 5.7:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Oshawa Generals - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Niagara IceDogs - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.