Match Info

OHL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Harry Lumley Bayshore Community Centre (Owen Sound, ON)


	Owen Sound Attack		Niagara IceDogs

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.18	2.96
	1.91	4.33	3.02	Watch
	1.75	4.4	3.2
	1.8	4.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)	4.33 ↓ (4.63)	3.06 ↓ (3.32)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Owen Sound Attack
49.2%

Draw
21%

Niagara IceDogs
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

19.9%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

21.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Owen Sound Attack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Owen Sound Attack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koprowski M. (G)	77. Robertson C. (G)
4. Arnett E.	7. Cheynowski C.
12. Banks J.	33. Chromiak J. (A)
5. Brown J. (A)	12. Czata E. (C)
16. Crawford J. (A)	44. Doherty S.
10. Delisle M.	17. Edgar R.
40. Delisle T.	92. Galiyanov I.
23. Greenberg L. (A)	9. Hage A.
20. Lisi A.	64. Hull C.
21. Mbuyi P. (A)	6. Knauft J.
13. Mikus E.	19. Monks J.
34. Nansi H.	93. Read N.
8. Roberts N.	16. Reid H.
2. Rogers B.	3. Reisnecker B.
19. Royston W.	25. Roobroeck R. (A)
24. Sykora N.	61. Simon Wang
29. Taylor C.	43. Smith R.
22. Wray M.	49. Spencer L.
17. Zurawski C.	8. Tiller G. (A)
Substitutes
30. Bennett T. (G)	32. Yermolenko V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:46, 0 - 1, Edgar R. (G), Hage A. (A), Chromiak J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 4)
02:02, 0 - 2, Hage A. (G), Tiller G. (A), Cheynowski C. (A2)
08:12, 0 - 3, Reid H. (G),
14:08, 0 - 4, Edgar R. (G), Hage A. (A),
18:11, 0 - 5, Edgar R. (G), Roobroeck R. (A), Chromiak J. (A2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Owen won 5.

Owen is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Niagara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Niagara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Owen has had a series of home games.

Owen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Owen won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 106:76. (average 5.3:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Owen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:34. (average 5:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Owen Sound Attack - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.35%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Owen Sound Attack
OHL
23.01.26	Kitchener Rangers - Owen Sound Attack	6:2 ✺
18.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Barrie Colts	1:5 ✺
17.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - London Knights	4:5 ✺
10.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Kitchener Rangers	4:7 ✺
07.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
22.01.26	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	3:5 ✺
18.01.26	Niagara IceDogs - Brantford Bulldogs	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sudbury Wolves - Niagara IceDogs	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
26.02.25	Owen Sound Attack - Niagara IceDogs	5:1
11.10.24	Niagara IceDogs - Owen Sound Attack	4:6
05.01.24	Niagara IceDogs - Owen Sound Attack	4:5 OT
28.12.23	Owen Sound Attack - Niagara IceDogs	10:2
08.02.23	Owen Sound Attack - Niagara IceDogs	9:3
11.01.23	Niagara IceDogs - Owen Sound Attack	1:5
06.02.20	Niagara IceDogs - Owen Sound Attack	1:11

Owen Sound Attack - Niagara IceDogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide