Match Info

OHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: TD Place Arena (Ottawa, ON)


	Ottawa 67s		Barrie Colts

	1	X	2
	2.28	4.38	2.47
	2.22	4.46	2.42	Watch
	2.2	4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.98)	4.28 ↓ (4.53)	2.46 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa 67s
41.2%

Draw
21.5%

Barrie Colts
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

20.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

22.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa 67s has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ottawa 67s's form might have worsened.

Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa 67s than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa 67s, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrie Colts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fetterolf R. (G)	62. Hrebik B. (G)
38. Bedkowski D.	77. Aitcheson K. (A)
23. Bewick C. (A)	29. Beaudoin C. (C)
12. Bowes S.	14. Crombie C.
4. Dietsch K.	2. Desiderio N.
34. Ekberg F.	37. Edgar E.
19. Eshkawkogan K.	78. Eliasson G.
29. Foster C. (C)	41. Emerton C.
25. Houben Z.	25. Gardiner B. (A)
11. Kingwell S.	16. Handsor J.
9. Krawczyk B.	85. Lowe C.
22. Kuhta J.	84. Newton J.
8. Marrelli F. (A)	88. Passmore E. (A)
28. McCue S.	15. Salandra J.
13. Ruml O.	11. Schneid W.
16. Sima N.	6. Von Richter P.
37. Vandenberg T.	53. Wilmott B.
10. Whitehead N.	19. Zebeski M.
Substitutes
32. Nelson J. (G)	1. Jaswal A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:53, 0 - 1, Lowe C. (G), Hemming E. (A), Aitcheson K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:23, 0 - 2, Hemming E. (G), Beaudoin C. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:37, 0 - 3, Salandra J. (G), Crombie C. (A),
16:50, 1 - 3, Sima N. (G), Bowes S. (A), Marrelli F. (A2)
18:02, 2 - 3, Marrelli F. (G), Foster C. (A), Whitehead N. (A2)

Preview

Barrie Colts leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barrie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.

Ottawa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:62. (average 3.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:32. (average 4.1:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa 67s - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Barrie Colts - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa 67s
OHL
14.04.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	5:3 ✺
09.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	4:2 ✺
02.04.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	2:3 ✺
31.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW
- Barrie Colts
OHL
14.04.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	5:3 ✺
09.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	4:2 ✺
04.04.26	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
02.04.26	Niagara IceDogs - Barrie Colts	6:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
14.04.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:2
11.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	5:3
09.04.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	4:2
12.03.26	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	2:3 OT
16.02.26	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	5:8
05.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Barrie Colts	1:4
09.10.25	Barrie Colts - Ottawa 67s	1:2

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