The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 48%
Draw 22.4%
New Jersey Devils 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
23%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
22.7%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
New Jersey Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). New Jersey will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 5 - 71.4%). New Jersey (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - New Jersey (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
DC - New Jersey (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
AH -1.5, OT - Ottawa (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 6 - 50%). New Jersey (votes: 6 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
2. Zub A.
7. Hamilton D.
85. Sanderson J.
22. Pesce B.
28. Giroux C. (A)
29. Hameenaho L.
18. Stutzle T.
13. Hischier N.
19. Batherson D.
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.
17. Nemec S.
72. Chabot T. (A)
5. Dillon B.
71. Greig R.
63. Bratt J.
24. Cozens D.
91. Mercer D.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)
33. Dadonov Y.
Line 3
10. Spence J.
8. Kovacevic J.
43. Kleven T.
71. Siegenthaler J.
22. Amadio M.
16. Brown C.
12. Pinto S.
12. Glass C.
21. Cousins N.
28. Meier T.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.
42. Tsyplakov M.
89. Eller L.
14. Glendening L.
83. Halliday S.
47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
06:32, Kleven T. (2 min),
10:01, Giroux C. (2 min),
12:24, Pesce B. (2 min),
13:37, 1 - 0, Tkachuk B. (G), Batherson D. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
18:14, 1 - 1, Meier T. (G), Glass C. (A), Hamilton D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
11:30, Cozens D. (2 min),
14:04, Kovacevic J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:18, Siegenthaler J. (2 min),
00:37, 2 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
03:01, Chabot T. (2 min),
08:41, Cozens D. (2 min),
08:41, Dillon B. (2 min),
15:00, Kleven T. (2 min),
17:52, 3 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
18:40, 4 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ottawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Halliday S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Perron D.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in New Jersey: Hughes L.
(Shoulder Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Knee Injury)
Noesen S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in New Jersey: Glass C.
(Injury)
Hughes J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:65. (average 3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.1:3.5).
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Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.