Match Info

NHL

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	2	Watch
	2.94	4.33	2.08
	2.91	4.35	2.1
	2.93	4.42	2.06	Watch
	2.88	4.33	2.1
	2.99	4.37	2.14
	2.95	4.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.76)	4.32 (4.32)	2.08 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
32.2%

Draw
22%

Vegas Golden Knights
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

22.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

23%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	29.4%	70.6%

Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vegas Golden Knights will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Sogaard M. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
2. Zub A.	27. Theodore S.
85. Sanderson J.	5. Lauzon J.
28. Giroux C. (A)	61. Stone M. (C)
18. Stutzle T.	9. Eichel J. (A)
19. Batherson D.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	4. Andersson R.
72. Chabot T. (A)	15. Hanifin N.
71. Greig R.	16. Dorofeyev P.
24. Cozens D.	93. Marner M. (A)
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	19. Smith R.
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N.	6. Korczak K.
43. Kleven T.	17. Hutton B.
20. Zetterlund F.	55. Kolesar K.
12. Pinto S.	48. Hertl T.
22. Amadio M.	42. Bowman B.
Line 4
21. Cousins N.	26. Holtz A.
89. Eller L.	28. Laczynski T.
83. Halliday S.	23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:36, Marner M. (Penalty Shot),
09:25, 1 - 0, Zetterlund F. (G), Halliday S. (A),
18:23, Greig R. (2 min),
19:46, (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:51, 2 - 0, Cozens D. (G), Greig R. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
06:07, 3 - 0, Spence J. (G), Kleven T. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
17:50, 4 - 0, Halliday S. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:22, 5 - 0, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),
02:05, 6 - 0, Halliday S. (G), Kleven T. (A),
03:56, 7 - 0, Jensen N. (G), Chabot T. (A), Pinto S. (A2)
07:19, Dorofeyev P. (2 min),
15:05, 7 - 1, Andersson R. (G), Hertl T. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.

Ottawa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vegas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ottawa: Perron D. (Groin Injury) Ullmark L. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNabb B. (Upper-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Saad B. (Injury) Sissons C. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Reinhardt C. (Illness)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 43:62. (average 2.9:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 2.9:4.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
24.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Carolina Hurricanes	1:4 ✺
22.01.26	Nashville Predators - Ottawa Senators	5:3 ✺
20.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
23.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights	3:6 ✺
22.01.26	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 ✺
19.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Nashville Predators	7:2 ✺
15.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
26.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	3:4 penalties
21.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3
25.10.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	6:4
24.02.24	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 penalties
17.12.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	6:3
23.11.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	4:1
03.11.22	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5

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