Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		Colorado Avalanche

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.25	2	Watch
	3.06	3.99	2.11
	2.87	4.34	2.12
	2.97	4.41	2.04	Watch
	2.88	4.33	2.1
	2.97	4.4	2.14
	2.9	4.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	4.3 ↓ (4.47)	2.08 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
32.1%

Draw
22.1%

Colorado Avalanche
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

21.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

21.4%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Colorado will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
47. Reimer J. (G)	39. Blackwood M. (G)
2. Zub A.	8. Makar C. (A)
85. Sanderson J.	70. Malinski S.
28. Giroux C. (A)	88. Necas M.
18. Stutzle T.	29. MacKinnon N. (A)
19. Batherson D.	95. Olofsson V.
Line 2
3. Jensen N.	84. Burns B.
72. Chabot T. (A)	42. Manson J.
71. Greig R.	13. Nichushkin V.
24. Cozens D.	11. Nelson B. (A)
7. Tkachuk B. (C)	62. Lehkonen A.
Line 3
10. Spence J.	49. Girard S.
43. Kleven T.	67. Middleton K.
22. Amadio M.	54. Brindley G.
12. Pinto S.	18. Drury J.
21. Cousins N.	16. Makar T.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.	94. Kiviranta J.
89. Eller L.	17. Kelly P.
53. Bourgault X.	93. Bardakov Z.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)	41. Wedgewood S. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Bednar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
01:20, Malinski S. (2 min),
17:13, Makar T. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:21, 1 - 0, Cousins N. (G), Zub A. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
10:06, Lehkonen A. (2 min),
14:05, 1 - 1, Kelly P. (G), Nelson B. (A), Middleton K. (A2)
14:22, 2 - 1, Greig R. (G), Kleven T. (A), Spence J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:06, 3 - 1, Giroux C. (G), Jensen N. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
03:30, 3 - 2, Nichushkin V. (G), Drury J. (A),
17:44, 4 - 2, Tkachuk B. (G), Sanderson J. (A),
18:53, 5 - 2, Stutzle T. (G), Chabot T. (A), Zub A. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Colorado has had a series of home games.

Colorado will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ottawa: Halliday S. (Upper-Body Injury) Perron D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Landeskog G. (Upper-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury) Wedgewood S. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Colorado: Colton R. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 63:91. (average 3.2:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 3.3:4).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.69%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
25.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	7:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Carolina Hurricanes	1:4 ✺
22.01.26	Nashville Predators - Ottawa Senators	5:3 ✺
20.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL
- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
25.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Philadelphia Flyers	3:7 ✺
21.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Anaheim Ducks	1:2 penalties ✺
19.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Washington Capitals	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Nashville Predators	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
08.01.26	Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators	8:2
20.03.25	Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche	1:5
27.10.24	Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators	5:4
16.01.24	Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche	4:7
21.12.23	Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators	6:4
16.03.23	Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche	4:5
14.01.23	Colorado Avalanche - Ottawa Senators	7:0

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