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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 36.3%
Draw 22.9%
St. Louis Blues 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
22.1%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
22.7%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ottawa Senators's form might have worsened.
St. Louis Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Louis Blues's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). St. Louis will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 50%). St. Louis (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ersson S. (G)
30. Hofer J. (G)
10. Spence J.
36. Jiricek A.
72. Chabot T. (C)
6. Broberg P. (A)
19. Batherson D.
21. Snuggerud J.
18. Stutzle T. (A)
18. Thomas R. (C)
37. Foegele W.
81. Holloway D.
Line 2
26. Yakemchuk C.
55. Parayko C.
43. Kleven T.
72. Barron J.
71. Greig R.
29. Berggren J.
24. Cozens D.
83. McTavish M.
95. Burakovsky A.
77. McMichael C.
Line 3
73. Stanley H.
25. Carlo B.
33. Matinpalo N.
17. Fowler C.
28. Giroux C. (A)
89. Buchnevich P.
12. Pinto S.
15. Dvorsky D.
22. Amadio M.
63. Neighbours J. (A)
Line 4
21. Cousins N.
. Peterson D.
83. Halliday S.
22. Suter P.
20. Zetterlund F.
49. Johnston R.
Substitutes
35. Ullmark L. (G)
50. Binnington J. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Montgomery J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:15, Spence J. (2 min),
13:28, Fowler C. (2 min),
14:28, 0 - 1, Suter P. (G), Parayko C. (A), Buchnevich P. (A2)
17:26, Carlo B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:31, Parayko C. (2 min),
13:20, 0 - 2, Neighbours J. (G), Thomas R. (A), Holloway D. (A2)
14:06, Stanley H. (2 min),
17:52, 1 - 2, Giroux C. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Batherson D. (A2)
18:25, 1 - 3, McTavish M. (G), Berggren J. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
07:54, 1 - 4, Suter P. (G), Johnston R. (A), Carlo B. (A2)
14:46, 1 - 5, Neighbours J. (G), Buchnevich P. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
14:52, Donovan J. (5 min),
14:52, Peterson D. (5 min),
14:52, Foegele W. (2 min),
15:33, 1 - 6, McTavish M. (G), McMichael C. (A), Buchnevich P. (A2)
16:32, 1 - 7, Jiricek A. (G), Suter P. (A), McTavish M. (A2)
16:41, Broberg P. (2 min),
18:33, 2 - 7, Zetterlund F. (G), Halliday S. (A), Pinto S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.
Ottawa has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by St. Louis have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
St. Louis could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Ottawa: Crotty C.
(Illness)
Eklund W.
(Ankle Injury)
MacDermid K.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Sanderson J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Zub A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for St. Louis: Dube D.
(Neck Injury)
Jecho A.
(Personal Reasons)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Toropchenko A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tucker T.
(Knee Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Ottawa in today's match, at odds of 2.38.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ottawa has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:69 (averaging 2.6:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ottawa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 30:35 goals (averaging 3:3.5 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.84% St. Louis Blues: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Mexico
Norway
Peru
Slovakia
Sweden
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
International
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Ersson S. (G) 
Hofer J. (G) 
Jiricek A. 
Snuggerud J. 
Stutzle T. (A) 
Matinpalo N. 
Buchnevich P. 
Dvorsky D. 
Suter P. 
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