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Current Win Probability
Ottawa Senators 46%
Draw 22.8%
St. Louis Blues 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
21.9%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
21.4%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.2%
31.2%
12.5%
Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). St. Louis will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). St. Louis (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)
30. Hofer J. (G)
2. Zub A.
55. Parayko C. (A)
85. Sanderson J. (A)
6. Broberg P.
20. Zetterlund F.
89. Buchnevich P.
18. Stutzle T.
18. Thomas R.
7. Tkachuk B. (A)
63. Neighbours J.
Line 2
10. Spence J.
72. Faulk J.
43. Kleven T.
51. Kessel M.
19. Batherson D. (A)
25. Kyrou J. (A)
24. Cozens D.
54. Dvorsky D.
57. Perron D.
81. Holloway D. (A)
Line 3
3. Jensen N.
23. Mailloux L.
33. Matinpalo N.
17. Fowler C.
28. Giroux C.
77. Bjugstad N.
71. Greig R.
10. Schenn B.
22. Amadio M.
22. Peterson D.
Line 4
42. Hodgson H.
71. Joseph M.
83. Halliday S.
70. Sundqvist O.
21. Cousins N.
41. Kaskimaki A.
Substitutes
1. Merilainen L. (G)
50. Binnington J. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.
. Montgomery J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
04:32, Thomas R. (2 min),
11:05, Neighbours J. (2 min),
14:03, Neighbours J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:40, Schenn B. (2 min),
15:32, Giroux C. (2 min),
17:36, 0 - 1, Neighbours J. (G), Schenn B. (A), Suter P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:12, 0 - 2, Neighbours J. (G), Buchnevich P. (A),
10:40, Holloway D. (2 min),
15:19, Faulk J. (2 min),
15:39, 1 - 2, Zetterlund F. (G), Halliday S. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
19:53, Cozens D. (2 min),
19:53, Sundqvist O. (2 min),
19:53, Stutzle T. (2 min),
19:53, Hodgson H. (2 min),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.
Ottawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Eller L.
(Injury)
Zub A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in St. Louis: Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Snuggerud J.
(Wrist Injury)
Toropchenko A.
(Leg Injury)
Walker N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Ottawa: Pinto S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in St. Louis: Thomas R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:69. (average 2.7:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 3.2:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.96%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.