The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Owen Sound Attack 14.7%
Draw 14.9%
Flint Firebirds 70.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
17.9%
62.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
19%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Owen Sound Attack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Owen Sound Attack's form might have worsened.
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flint Firebirds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Owen Sound Attack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flint Firebirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Koprowski M. (G)
1. Vaccari M. (G)
4. Arnett E.
19. Allen D.
12. Banks J.
22. Anderson D.
5. Brown J.
76. Aspinall N.
16. Crawford J.
86. Battaglia J.
10. Delisle M.
88. Cunningham R.
40. Delisle T.
65. Fellinger R.
18. Jackman L.
14. Graziano L.
26. Langdon J.
20. Komadoski G.
21. Mbuyi P.
47. Kostov A.
28. Munnings B.
10. Lombardi J.
34. Nansi H.
68. Murata C.
11. Nelson N.
7. Paul J.
8. Roberts N.
95. Pazii I.
2. Rogers B.
98. Podrekar U.
19. Royston W.
77. Smith B.
24. Sykora N.
81. Tessier X.
22. Wray M.
9. Thibodeau C.
17. Zurawski C.
8. Uljanskis D.
Substitutes
30. Bennett T. (G)
55. Courville M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
07:49, 0 - 1, Aspinall N. (G), Podrekar U. (A), Vaccari M. (A2)
16:29, 0 - 2, Battaglia J. (G), Kostov A. (A), Uljanskis D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:05, 1 - 2, Mbuyi P. (G), Sykora N. (A), Banks J. (A2)
11:19, 1 - 3, Lombardi J. (G), Battaglia J. (A), Kostov A. (A2)
12:28, 1 - 4, Pazii I. (G), Battaglia J. (A), Thibodeau C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
07:42, 1 - 5, Battaglia J. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Kostov A. (A2)
09:32, 1 - 6, Aspinall N. (G), Battaglia J. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
Preview
Flint Firebirds leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Owen won 1.
Owen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Flint is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Flint is a strong favorite.
We predict that Flint will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Owen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 53:102. (average 2.7:5.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Owen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:44. (average 3.2:4.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 4.64 are the expected chance of winning is 19.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Koprowski M. (G) 
Banks J. 
Pazii I. 
Podrekar U. 
Uljanskis D. 
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