Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Pelicans U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.45	5.32	4.1
	1.4	5.2	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	5.26 ↑ (4.93)	4.78 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans U20
63.7%

Draw
17.3%

SaiPa U20
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

18.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

17.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:21, 1 - 0, Koskinen L. (G), Haikala V. (A), Pohjalainen A. (A2)
19:38, 1 - 1, Svensk V. (G), Svensk S. (A), Zezelj A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:57, 2 - 1, Saharinen S. (G), Pietilainen O. (A), Sipila S. (A2)
06:58, 2 - 2, Zezelj A. (G), Mikhlin D. (A), Svensk S. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:28, 2 - 3, Mikonsaari V. (G), Kokkonen N. (A),
08:49, 3 - 3, Pietilainen O. (G), Sivonen V. (A),
15:09, 4 - 3, Kolehmainen E. (G), Chrons A. (A),
19:11, 5 - 3, Paqvalin A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 4.

Pelicans U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SaiPa U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pelicans U20 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Pelicans U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 80:50. (average 4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:40. (average 3.3:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pelicans U20 - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Kärpät U20	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	5:1 ✺
12.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Ilves U20	5:4 penalties ✺
06.09.25	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.25	SaiPa U20 - Jokerit U20	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	KooKoo U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
13.09.25	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	6:4 ✺
12.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - SaiPa U20	3:2 OT ✺
06.09.25	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - SaiPa U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
05.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1
08.03.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	0:6
08.12.24	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	0:8
16.11.24	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	0:6
21.09.24	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	3:1
02.02.24	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1
13.10.23	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	0:3

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