Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	SaiPa U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	3.70	5.25	1.56
	4.5	5	1.38
	4.96	4.81	1.43
	4.72	5	1.48	Watch
	4.9	4.75	1.42
	5.65	5.2	1.39
	4.8	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.52)	4.94 ↑ (4.83)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa U20
19%

Draw
18.3%

Pelicans U20
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

19.1%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

21.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelicans U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
03:50, 0 - 1, Mikkonen R. (G), Nuutinen M. (A), Laipio O. (A2)
09:20, 0 - 2, Kolehmainen E. (G), Saarelma N. (A), Pohjalainen A. (A2)
17:02, 0 - 3, Kilpelainen A. (G), Kokko A. (A), Haikala V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:46, 1 - 3, Mikonsaari V. (G), Nevalainen E. (A), Kokkonen N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:42, 1 - 4, Kokko A. (G), Tynkila A. (A), Amhamdi O. (A2)
08:06, 2 - 4, Svensk S. (G), Eloranta O. (A), Marik N. (A2)
15:26, 2 - 5, Kilpelainen A. (G), Kokko A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa U20 won 1.

Recent results have been tough for SaiPa U20 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Pelicans U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Pelicans U20 for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa U20 has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:85 (averaging 2.1:4.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 9:42 goals (averaging 1.1:5.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa U20 - the odds 4.52 are the expected chance of winning is 20.37%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.10.26	HIFK U20 - SaiPa U20	5:0 ✺
02.10.26	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:5 ✺
20.09.26	SaiPa U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 penalties ✺
12.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - SaiPa U20	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Pelicans U20	6:4 ✺
27.09.26	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:5 ✺
20.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Jokerit U20	5:4 ✺
19.09.26	Pelicans U20 - RoKi U20	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
15.11.25	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:5
26.10.25	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	1:4
27.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	5:3
05.09.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1
08.03.25	Pelicans U20 - SaiPa U20	0:6
08.12.24	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	0:8
16.11.24	SaiPa U20 - Pelicans U20	0:6

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