The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penticton Vees 70%
Draw 14.8%
Red Deer Rebels 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
18.4%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
19.1%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penticton Vees has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penticton Vees's performance.
Red Deer Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penticton Vees than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penticton Vees that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Deer Rebels than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Reyelts A. (G)
31. Shore P. (G)
51. Alstead B.
26. Allen D. (C)
15. Birnie B.
11. Andersen P.
29. Danis M. (A)
6. Chadi N.
27. Drancak S.
2. Chichkin A. (A)
21. Evers R. (A)
15. DeWitt O.
19. Johnson D. (A)
4. Dillard C.
83. Kvasnicka J.
21. Hamilton B. (A)
11. Michaud C.
5. Kamas J.
24. Milford N.
9. Kuzma C.
92. Norrie C.
17. Lisy M.
12. Pederson D.
18. Lodge K.
91. Petersen T.
24. MacSwain L.
6. Stevenson N. (C)
27. Mikes M.
8. Stone C.
3. Missura J.
52. Tastad M.
10. Peterson G.
18. Valliant C.
20. Sopiarz P.
2. Weber E.
14. Varga K.
9. Wehmann L.
12. Yaremko T.
7. Yellowaga N.
Substitutes
30. McCallum E. (G)
35. Kondro M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:45, 1 - 0, Birnie B. (G), Weber E. (A), Danis M. (A2)
08:41, 2 - 0, Danis M. (G), Birnie B. (A), Tastad M. (A2)
09:43, 3 - 0, Milford N. (G), Norrie C. (A),
16:17, 3 - 1, Varga K. (G), Hamilton B. (A), Yellowaga N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:02, 3 - 2, Brigley T. (G), Yaremko T. (A), Yellowaga N. (A2)
06:47, 3 - 3, Kuzma C. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:07, 4 - 3, Kvasnicka J. (G), Petersen T. (A), Pederson D. (A2)
11:51, 5 - 3, Johnson D. (G), Drancak S. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Penticton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Red Deer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Red Deer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Red Deer has had a series of home games.