The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough Petes 58.7%
Draw 18.3%
Saginaw Spirit 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
19.9%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
20.9%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Petes's performance.
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saginaw Spirit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough Petes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saginaw Spirit could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)
14. Barabanov E. (A)
28. Faulkner B.
72. Barnes B.
8. Frazer G.
42. Cloutier J.
19. Hammond B.
95. Geldart G.
4. Hartnell C.
5. Glavin J. (A)
12. Kolarik L.
73. Guo J.
10. Levac A.
88. Hanrahan R.
44. Lutz Y.
13. Harmer C. (A)
3. Marentette T.
4. Harper L.
29. McCallum B. (A)
9. Jones G.
61. McGregor K.
98. Klepov N.
16. Novotny A.
8. Najim B.
18. Parish F.
62. Pepoy B.
72. Perreault M.
11. Roscoe D.
2. Radley B.
90. Schmidt S.
92. Soto M.
27. Stewart B.
22. Walton K.
17. Velliaris X.
26. Young A. (A)
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)
31. Papineau K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
18:53, 0 - 1, Klepov N. (G), Zhilkin D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:26, 0 - 2, Cloutier J. (G), Klepov N. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
16:11, 0 - 3, Guo J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:03, 1 - 3, Levac A. (G), Kolarik L. (A), Walton K. (A2)
18:39, 1 - 4, Klepov N. (G), Barabanov E. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Saginaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Peterborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Peterborough will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 66:77. (average 3.3:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:40. (average 3.6:3.6).