The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 71.4%
Draw 14.5%
Saginaw Spirit 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
16.6%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
18%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flint Firebirds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vaccari M. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
19. Allen D.
14. Barabanov E. (A)
22. Anderson D.
72. Barnes B.
76. Aspinall N. (C)
42. Cloutier J.
86. Battaglia J.
95. Geldart G.
13. Colosimo J.
5. Glavin J. (A)
65. Fellinger R.
73. Guo J.
14. Graziano L.
88. Hanrahan R.
11. He K.
13. Harmer C. (A)
20. Komadoski G.
4. Harper L.
10. Lombardi J. (A)
9. Jones G.
4. Morgan B.
98. Klepov N.
68. Murata C.
62. Pepoy B.
95. Pazii I.
10. Rausa J.
98. Podrekar U. (A)
11. Roscoe D.
77. Smith B.
27. Stewart B.
81. Tessier X.
21. Storch L.
9. Thibodeau C.
17. Velliaris X.
8. Uljanskis D.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
55. Courville M. (G)
31. Papineau K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:04, 1 - 0, Podrekar U. (G), Pazii I. (A),
05:55, 1 - 1, Storch L. (G), Harper L. (A),
14:45, 2 - 1, Anderson D. (G), Battaglia J. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:32, 2 - 2, Zhilkin D. (G), Klepov N. (A), Harper L. (A2)
07', 2 - 3, Barabanov E. (G), Cloutier J. (A),
16:31, 3 - 3, He K. (G), Graziano L. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:10, 4 - 3, Aspinall N. (G), Lombardi J. (A), Anderson D. (A2)
09:20, 4 - 4, Barabanov E. (G), Klepov N. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
17:08, 4 - 5, Barabanov E. (G), Klepov N. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Flint is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 5.
Flint is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Saginaw is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Saginaw has had a series of home games.
In this match, Flint is the clear favorite.
We predict that Flint will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flint won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 72:92. (average 3.6:4.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:42. (average 4:4.2).