The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 46.3%
Draw 21.1%
Saginaw Spirit 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.6%
20.1%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
21.7%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Courville M. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
22. Anderson D. (A)
18. Bate D.
44. Beauchesne C.
42. Cloutier J. (A)
91. Bleick Z.
95. Geldart G.
27. Bonnyman J.
14. George B.
54. Bray J.
5. Glavin J. (A)
88. Cunningham R.
88. Hanrahan R.
65. Fellinger R. (A)
4. Harper L. (A)
14. Graziano L.
7. Khotkov G.
21. Guizzetti C.
86. Lauder K.
8. Klaucans M.
12. Leenders H.
10. Lombardi J. (C)
24. Martyniuk T.
4. Morgan B.
2. Meyer K.
86. Murata C.
93. Milojevic A.
79. Nutting L.
62. Pepoy B.
7. Paul J.
10. Savin D.
11. Smith B.
17. Velliaris X.
81. Tessier X.
66. Wassilyn B.
9. Williams C.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
74. Bennett T. (G)
30. Knowling B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
08:59, 0 - 1, Wassilyn B. (G), Martyniuk T. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
09:55, 1 - 1, Cunningham R. (G),
12:26, 2 - 1, Graziano L. (G), Williams C. (A), Smith B. (A2)
18:49, 3 - 1, Klaucans M. (G), Anderson D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:19, 4 - 1, Tessier X. (G),
14:17, 4 - 2, Pepoy B. (G), Bate D. (A), Geldart G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:22, 5 - 2, Anderson D. (G), Williams C. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
15:43, 6 - 2, Anderson D. (G), Paul J. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 6th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 4.
Flint has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Saginaw has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Saginaw may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Flint is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flint has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 81:81 (averaging 4.1:4.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flint against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:34 goals (averaging 4.4:3.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Courville M. (G) 
Shurygin S. (G) 
Bate D. 
Klaucans M. 
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