Match Info

OHL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)


	Saginaw Spirit		Kingston Frontenacs

	1	X	2
	2.04	4.46	2.69
	2.1	4.2	2.6
	2	4.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.19)	4.32 ↑ (4.25)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
44.5%

Draw
21.1%

Kingston Frontenacs
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

21.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

20.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingston (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)	43. Betts G. (G)
14. Barabanov E. (A)	6. Bishop W. (A)
72. Barnes B.	22. Buttar N.
42. Cloutier J.	17. Clark R.
95. Geldart G.	14. Frost M.
5. Glavin J. (A)	77. Henderson M.
73. Guo J.	47. Kelly A.
88. Hanrahan R.	41. Kulemin A.
13. Harmer C. (A)	13. Kuzma R.
4. Harper L.	20. McCuaig C.
9. Jones G.	11. McGowan M. (A)
98. Klepov N.	19. Mclean A.
8. Najim B.	86. Misiak A.
62. Pepoy B.	25. Mondoux A.
10. Rausa J.	4. Moore L.
11. Roscoe D.	10. Pobezal T.
90. Schmidt S.	74. Snyder N.
27. Stewart B.	27. Williamson V. (C)
21. Storch L.	36. Wright L.
17. Velliaris X.
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)	76. Minchak M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:38, 0 - 1, Mondoux A. (G), Wright L. (A), Kulemin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:39, 0 - 2, Pobezal T. (G), Henderson M. (A), Bishop W. (A2)
01:19, 1 - 2, Geldart G. (G), Harmer C. (A), Cloutier J. (A2)
09:57, 1 - 3, Snyder N. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:19, 1 - 4, Mclean A. (G), Pobezal T. (A), McGowan M. (A2)
03:07, 1 - 5, McGowan M. (G), Betts G. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.

Saginaw is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kingston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saginaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 96:65. (average 4.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:30. (average 4.6:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Saginaw Spirit - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
04.01.26	Saginaw Spirit - Brampton Steelheads	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	5:3 ✺
31.12.25	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	6:0 ✺
30.12.25	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	5:1 ✺
28.12.25	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Saginaw Spirit	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLWW
- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
02.01.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties ✺
01.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1 ✺
31.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Guelph Storm	5:3 ✺
28.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Kingston Frontenacs	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Kingston Frontenacs	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
30.01.25	Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs	5:9
24.01.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Saginaw Spirit	7:6 penalties
08.03.24	Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs	7:2
21.01.24	Kingston Frontenacs - Saginaw Spirit	2:7
05.03.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Saginaw Spirit	3:7
03.11.22	Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs	3:2
28.02.20	Saginaw Spirit - Kingston Frontenacs	5:2

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