The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchener Rangers 57%
Draw 19.3%
Saginaw Spirit 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
20.3%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
21.5%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kitchener Rangers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Kitchener Rangers - Saginaw Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Schaubel J. (G)
30. Knowling B. (G)
73. Andreev R.
72. Barnes B.
9. Anstis A.
18. Bate D.
11. Arquette C.
42. Cloutier J. (A)
89. Bilecki A. (A)
95. Geldart G.
17. Cameron W.
5. Glavin J. (A)
13. Ellis H.
88. Hanrahan R.
91. Forrest A.
7. Khotkov G.
29. Gombar J.
86. Lauder K.
93. LaBrash J.
12. Leenders H.
37. Lam T. (A)
24. Martyniuk T.
43. MacNiel A. (C)
2. Meyer K.
98. Puglisi C.
93. Milojevic A.
44. Roberson R.
62. Pepoy B.
77. Robinson I.
10. Savin D.
86. Romano L. (A)
90. Schmidt S.
23. Santala L.
17. Velliaris X.
21. Schneider K.
66. Wassilyn B.
2. Toporowski D.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
30. Hriczov M. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:19, 1 - 0, Puglisi C. (G), Ellis H. (A), Forrest A. (A2)
03:24, 1 - 1, Wassilyn B. (G),
10:17, 1 - 2, Zhilkin D. (G), Savin D. (A),
13:24, 2 - 2, Anstis A. (G), Forrest A. (A), Toporowski D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:09, 2 - 3, Wassilyn B. (G), Cloutier J. (A),
18:07, 3 - 3, Santala L. (G), Romano L. (A), Bilecki A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:10, 4 - 3, Santala L. (G), Bilecki A. (A), Romano L. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 5.
Kitchener has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Saginaw is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Saginaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kitchener holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kitchener in today's match, at odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kitchener has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:63 (averaging 3.8:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kitchener against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 39:26 goals (averaging 3.9:2.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.86%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
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Schaubel J. (G) 
Knowling B. (G) 
Andreev R. 
Gombar J. 
Santala L. 
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