Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 40

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Vorarlberghalle (Feldkirch)


	Pioneers Vorarlberg		Vienna Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.3	2.6
	2.14	4.2	2.7
	2.07	4.27	2.84	Watch
	2.07	4	2.81
	2	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.64)	4.15 ↓ (4.38)	2.73 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pioneers Vorarlberg
44.2%

Draw
22.1%

Vienna Capitals
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

21.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

21.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pioneers Vorarlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pioneers Vorarlberg's performance.

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vienna Capitals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pioneers Vorarlberg than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pioneers Vorarlberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vienna Capitals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pioneers Vorarlberg - Vienna Capitals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Madlener D. (G)	31. Cowley E. (G)
28. Roehl L.	8. Nogier N.
4. Schnetzer R.	24. Bourque S.
17. Adams C.	17. Kosmachuk S.
47. Dornbach C.	19. Vey L.
7. Bukarts Ro.	44. Souch C.
Line 2
56. Kernberger M.	92. Lindner L.
44. Reini J.	55. Wolf R.
14. Florchuk E.	82. Peeters S.
12. Gallant C.	9. Wallner L.
46. Maier O.	61. Franklin Z.
Line 3
10. Allen R.	13. Gazzola R.
77. Korecky I.	71. Kirchschlager E.
25. Metzler J.	42. Lanzinger B.
91. Tschofen M.	62. Hults M.
71. Macierzynski K.	37. Kromp C.
Line 4
19. Woborsky L.	11. Zach-Kiesling L.
65. Wempe L.	34. Koschek F.
22. Erne L.	3. Preiser A.
33. Summer A.	49. Theirich M.
8. Bohm M.	76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
30. Caffi A. (G)	30. Wraneschitz S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
03:15, 1 - 0, Kernberger M. (G), Dornbach C. (A),
13:54, 2 - 0, Macierzynski K. (G), Dornbach C. (A),
17:58, 3 - 0, Korecky I. (G), Bukarts Ro. (A), Dornbach C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:43, 4 - 0, Maier O. (G), Roehl L. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vorarlberg won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vienna Capitals may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vorarlberg has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Vorarlberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vorarlberg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:41. (average 2.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vorarlberg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 3:2.9).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Vienna Capitals: 2.77% Vorarlberg: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Vienna Capitals	8	2	2	1	3	24:24	11
14	Vorarlberg	9	0	0	1	8	20:40	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneers Vorarlberg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.01.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Pioneers Vorarlberg	2:3 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:4 ✺
05.01.26	Pioneers Vorarlberg - TWK Innsbruck	6:4 ✺
01.01.26	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:6 penalties ✺
30.12.25	Bolzano - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWWL
- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.01.26	Graz 99ers - Vienna Capitals	4:0 ✺
09.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	2:3 OT ✺
05.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Vienna Capitals	6:1 ✺
01.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
25.10.25	Vienna Capitals - Pioneers Vorarlberg	4:3 penalties
26.09.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Vienna Capitals	4:2
15.02.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Vienna Capitals	2:1 OT
18.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Pioneers Vorarlberg	2:4
16.11.24	Vienna Capitals - Pioneers Vorarlberg	1:4
25.10.24	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Vienna Capitals	5:1
19.01.24	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Vienna Capitals	3:2 OT

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