Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 38

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: STEFFL Arena (Vienna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Vienna Capitals		Black Wings Linz

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.3	2.25
	2.45	4.2	2.31
	2.42	4.25	2.37	Watch
	2.42	3.94	2.32
	2.45	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.23)	4.09 ↓ (4.39)	2.3 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Capitals
37.6%

Draw
22.5%

Black Wings Linz
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

21.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

21.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Black Wings will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vienna Capitals (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Black Wings (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Cowley E. (G)	32. Tirronen R. (G)
8. Nogier N.	46. Wurschl N.
24. Bourque S.	47. Roe L.
34. Koschek F.	27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
19. Vey L.	49. Knott G.
62. Hults M.	18. Ograjensek K.
Line 2
92. Lindner L.	23. Sollinger P.
98. Hults C.	88. Auvitu Y.
61. Franklin Z.	14. Neubauer H.
9. Wallner L.	26. Barron T.
44. Souch C.	7. Lebler B.
Line 3
13. Gazzola R.	3. Moro G.
5. Hackl D.	84. Lindner L.
42. Lanzinger B.	9. Romig E.
3. Preiser A.	81. Collins S.
37. Kromp C.	80. Pusnik J.
Line 4
23. Stiegler M.	96. Tialler C.
69. Widhalm L.	66. Gaffal S.
11. Zach-Kiesling L.	97. Maver L.
49. Theirich M.	37. Kristler A.
71. Kirchschlager E.
Substitutes
1. Setzinger L. (G)	33. Honeckl T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
11:50, 0 - 1, Knott G. (G), Ouellette-St-Amant S. (A),
12:48, 0 - 2, Collins S. (G), Romig E. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:02, 1 - 2, Franklin Z. (G), Nogier N. (A), Souch C. (A2)
19:58, 2 - 2, Franklin Z. (G), Souch C. (A), Vey L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:56, 2 - 3, Knott G. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vienna Capitals may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:66. (average 3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vienna Capitals won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 3.4:3).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Black Wings Linz: 2.94% Vienna Capitals: 2.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Black Wings Linz	9	5	1	1	2	35:27	18
10	Vienna Capitals	8	2	2	1	3	24:24	11

Last Results with these Odds

Black Wings Linz - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Vienna Capitals	6:1 ✺
01.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Vienna Capitals	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL
- Black Wings Linz
Austrian Ice Hockey League
03.01.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz	5:1 ✺
30.12.25	Black Wings Linz - Fehérvár AV 19	7:0 ✺
28.12.25	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	Graz 99ers - Black Wings Linz	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
31.10.25	Black Wings Linz - Vienna Capitals	4:1
19.09.25	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	7:6
08.01.25	Black Wings Linz - Vienna Capitals	4:3 OT
13.12.24	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	1:4
03.11.24	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	4:3 OT
27.09.24	Black Wings Linz - Vienna Capitals	1:2
04.02.24	Vienna Capitals - Black Wings Linz	2:1

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