The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 51.8%
Draw 21%
Vienna Capitals 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.7%
20.9%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
23.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Vienna Capitals aligns with the current prediction.
Red Bull Salzburg - Vienna Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Kickert D. (G)
39. Reideborn A. (G)
62. Kalynuk W.
7. Bailen N.
22. Robertson D. (A)
22. Schnetzer R.
39. Rattie T.
25. Gregoire J. (A)
70. Nissner B.
19. Vey L. (C)
12. Raffl M. (A)
15. Lilja J.
Line 2
95. Horl L.
92. Lindner L.
4. Nienhuis N.
24. Bourque S.
96. Huber M. (C)
34. Koschek F.
77. Brooks A.
67. Komarek K. (A)
24. Poisson N.
10. Gersich S.
Line 3
6. Lee J.
8. Nogier N.
92. Rebernig A.
5. Hackl D.
9. Wukovits A.
17. Kosmachuk S.
89. Baltram F.
9. Wallner L.
16. Auer L. C.
81. Richter M.
Line 4
29. Krainer B.
13. Steffler D.
81. Schnabl J.
82. Peeters S.
26. Hochkofler P.
37. Kromp C.
68. Gesson A.
76. Antonitsch S.
8. Bohm M.
Substitutes
31. Haitzmann L. (G)
36. Zimmermann M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:09, 1 - 0, Robertson D. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:54, 1 - 1, Komarek K. (G), Vey L. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:59, 2 - 1, Rattie T. (G), Nissner B. (A),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Red Bull Salzburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Red Bull Salzburg holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:40 (averaging 3.1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 34:15 goals (averaging 3.4:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Salzburg
15
8
0
1
6
47:47
25
9
Vienna Capitals
14
5
2
1
6
38:39
20
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Salzburg: 13.35% Vienna Capitals: 4.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.74%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Vienna Capitals - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.