Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 35

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: STEFFL Arena (Vienna)


	Vienna Capitals		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.3	2.25
	2.5	4.25	2.26
	2.56	4.22	2.26	Watch
	2.53	4	2.21
	2.4	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.57)	4.15 ↑ (4.04)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vienna Capitals
36.9%

Draw
22.1%

Olimpija Ljubljana
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

23%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

23.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vienna Capitals will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Olimpija will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vienna Capitals (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Cowley E. (G)	30. Kolin L. (G)
8. Nogier N.	43. Brennan T.
24. Bourque S.	72. Masic B.
17. Kosmachuk S.	94. Drozg J.
19. Vey L.	89. Boychuk Z.
62. Hults M.	71. Mehle Z.
Line 2
92. Lindner L.	60. Kirichenko C.
98. Hults C.	74. Halbert N.
61. Franklin Z.	8. Mahkovec M.
9. Wallner L.	19. Petan A.
44. Souch C.	9. Polei E.
Line 3
13. Gazzola R.	15. Gregorc B.
5. Hackl D.	2. MacWilliam A.
42. Lanzinger B.	70. Kapel R.
3. Preiser A.	11. Quince M.
37. Kromp C.	55. Sabolic R.
Line 4
71. Kirchschlager E.	44. Crnovic A.
55. Wolf R.	13. Pance Z.
34. Koschek F.	10. Bericic M.
49. Theirich M.	12. Simsic N.
76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
1. Setzinger L. (G)	61. Horak L. (G)
	23. Sodja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:08, 1 - 0, Souch C. (G), Vey L. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
08:24, 1 - 1, Quince M. (G), Drozg J. (A), Masic B. (A2)
15:49, 1 - 2, Mahkovec M. (G),
16:20, 2 - 2, Souch C. (G), Franklin Z. (A), Wallner L. (A2)
18:23, 3 - 2, Souch C. (G), Franklin Z. (A), Hults C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Vienna Capitals has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Vienna Capitals will win today's game, with odds of 2.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:62. (average 2.5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vienna Capitals won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.2:2.8).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

HK Olimpija: 4.19% Vienna Capitals: 2.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	HK Olimpija	8	4	1	0	3	37:25	14
10	Vienna Capitals	8	2	2	1	3	24:24	11

Last Results with these Odds

Vienna Capitals - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Vienna Capitals	2:3 OT ✺
28.12.25	Vienna Capitals - EC KAC	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Vienna Capitals	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Vienna Capitals	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLLWW
- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Fehérvár AV 19	5:0 ✺
26.12.25	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Olimpija Ljubljana	5:2 ✺
19.12.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
03.10.25	Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:1
12.09.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vienna Capitals	8:1
21.02.25	Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:6
30.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vienna Capitals	5:3
01.12.24	Vienna Capitals - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3
22.10.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vienna Capitals	2:1 OT
13.02.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vienna Capitals	3:0

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