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Current Win Probability
Piráti Chomutov 44.1%
Draw 22.3%
Frýdek-Místek 33.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
22.3%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
23.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piráti Chomutov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piráti Chomutov than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Piráti Chomutov - Frýdek Místek Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Jekel P. (G)
77. Dolejs D. (G)
25. Pinkas M.
38. Rocak M.
15. Zovinec D. (C)
6. Aubrecht D.
49. Coskey C.
14. Izacky J. (A)
79. Hanzl M.
44. Ostrizek D. (C)
75. Redlich S.
23. Lednicky V.
Line 2
55. Matejicek M.
63. Zielinski A.
23. Svoboda M.
52. Petrovicky R.
10. Bares A.
94. Strondala V.
22. Prikryl R. (A)
29. Matiasko M.
71. Boucher E.
76. Kofron D. (A)
Line 3
44. Vandas T.
9. Sedlacek M.
4. Havel R.
8. Volas P.
18. Tuma M. (A)
92. Svancara R.
17. Eret P.
26. Machacek S.
27. Badinka D.
21. Haas O.
Line 4
14. Konvalinka A.
81. Vojacek M.
66. Svoboda T.
19. Spevacek V.
89. Blaha O.
96. Gerych R.
24. Marha S.
Substitutes
32. Malek R. (G)
3. Javorek M. (G)
53. Silar T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:58, 0 - 1, Strondala V. (G), Petrovicky R. (A), Kofron D. (A2)
11:06, 0 - 2, Kofron D. (G), Zielinski A. (A),
12:20, 1 - 2, Boucher E. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:47, 2 - 2, Hanzl M. (G), Coskey C. (A),
17:55, 2 - 3, Kofron D. (G), Strondala V. (A), Lednicky V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:07, 3 - 3, Boucher E. (G), Coskey C. (A), Zovinec D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Lednicky V. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bares A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Strondala V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vandas T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Haas O. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hanzl M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Matiasko M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Coskey C. (Penalty Shot),
5, Svancara R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Boucher E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chomutov won 3.
Chomutov is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Frýdek-Místek has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Chomutov has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:28 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chomutov against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:13 goals (averaging 3.6:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Frydek-Mistek
18
5
2
3
8
50:59
22
14
Chomutov
18
3
1
3
11
50:75
14
Last Results with these Odds
Piráti Chomutov - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.41%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Frýdek-Místek - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Jekel P. (G) 
Coskey C. 
Petrovicky R. 
Boucher E. 
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